RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction Bundesliga 17.01.2026
RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction and Betting Tips for the Bundesliga clash, scheduled for Saturday, January 17, 2026, at 17:30 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on NOW TV and Sky Sports. The action takes place at the Red Bull Arena, where the hosts sit in third place with 32 points while the visitors lead the pack on 47 points. Looking at the data, Leipzig averages 2.63 goals scored per home match. In this article, you will discover Pro Germany Bundesliga Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Leipzig holds third place with 32 points but faces pressure from a chasing Stuttgart side.
- Bayern Munich dominates the Bundesliga table with 47 points and holds an 11 point lead.
- Recent matches for Leipzig show they struggle for goals from open play against top teams.
- Bayern averages a massive 3.38 goals per away match while conceding 0.75 goals on average.
- The hosts rely on set pieces with Orban and Romulo proving dangerous from Raum’s deliveries.
- Historical data reveals Leipzig has not beaten Bayern in five straight league games involving goals.
Ole Werner has been molding this Leipzig side into a defensively disciplined unit lately, as seen in their recent 2.0 victory against Freiburg. Still, the players admitted that they lack a bit of punch in open play. Most of their threat currently comes from the dead ball mastery of David Raum. He found Orban and Romulo for the goals on Wednesday, proving that set pieces are a vital weapon for them. Can they really break down the Bayern defense without more creativity from midfield? With an average of 11.88 fouls won per home game, they will certainly look to win free kicks in dangerous areas to test the visitors.
However, the injury list is starting to look a bit worrying for the home side. They have to do without Kevin Kampl, who is on special leave, while Lukas Klostermann is sidelined with influenza. This means the pressure is on the likes of Baku and Lukeba to keep things tight at the back. It is hard to say how this will end if they cannot control the middle of the park. Even so, their home form remains relatively strong, averaging 3.38 total goals per match in front of their own fans. It is a bold move to bet against them at the Red Bull Arena, but they need to be at their absolute best to stand a chance.
Bayern Munich arrives in Leipzig in devastating form, recently dismantling Wolfsburg 8.1 and following it up with a professional 3.1 win over Cologne. Vincent Kompany has his team playing with incredible freedom, especially the trio of Olise, Diaz, and the ever reliable Harry Kane. Even with Jamal Musiala out with a fractured fibula and Joshua Kimmich struggling with ankle issues, the depth of this squad is frightening. They average 3.38 goals per away match, which is frankly ridiculous. Can anyone actually stop them right now? They seem to find a way to score after the break in almost every single fixture lately.
History suggests that this fixture usually belongs to the Bavarians. They have not lost to Leipzig in their last five league meetings, including a 6.0 thrashing back in August. Interestingly, Bayern has won the second half in all five of those recent clashes. With 100 percent of their away matches going over 2.5 goals this season, we can expect plenty of fireworks. That said, football has a way of surprising us when we least expect it. Perhaps the absence of Kimmich will give Leipzig the opening they need. Regardless, these Pro Germany Bundesliga Predictions suggest a high scoring affair where Bayern’s clinical nature should eventually shine through.
Bayern Munich faces a defensive crisis ahead of their clash with RB Leipzig, as injuries to Konrad Laimer and Josip Stanisic leave Vincent Kompany without a natural right-back. While Joshua Kimmich returns to the squad, his fitness remains a concern for the starting eleven. Kompany may rely on versatile options like Raphael Guerreiro or Hiroki Ito to stabilize the backline against Leipzig’s pace.
| GK | Gulacsi |
| DF | R. Baku, Orban, Lukeba, Raum |
| MF | Seiwald Baumgartner, X. Schlager |
| FW | Gomis, Romulo, Y. Diomande |
| OUT |
Bakayoko(OUT),
Gebel(OUT),
Klostermann(OUT),
Masanka Bungi(OUT),
Ouedraogo(OUT),
Sani(OUT)
|
| GK | Neuer |
| DF | Kimmich, Upamecano, Tah, H. Ito |
| MF | Bischof, Pavlovic Olise, Karl, L. Diaz |
| FW | Kane |
| OUT |
Bärtl(OUT),
Boey(OUT),
Davies(OUT),
Fernandez Gonzalez(OUT),
Jackson(OUT),
Klanac(OUT),
Laimer(OUT),
Ofli(OUT),
Stanisic(OUT),
Ulreich(OUT)
|
The case for both teams scoring at the Red Bull Arena is built on Bayern Munich’s relentless attacking output combined with their recent defensive lapses. Under Vincent Kompany, the Bavarians have seen both teams find the net in four of their last five matches. While they score an incredible average of 3.38 goals per away game, they also concede 0.75 on the road. Leipzig is equally potent at home, scoring 2.63 goals per match on average. Statistics show a 50 percent BTTS rate for both sides, but the historical context is even more telling. In four of the last five head to head meetings, neither side kept a clean sheet. With Leipzig relying on dangerous set pieces from David Raum and Bayern boasting Harry Kane, it is hard to imagine either goalkeeper staying perfect. Both teams have the individual quality to exploit any structural gaps during this high stakes encounter.
Predicting over 2.5 goals in this clash is heavily supported by the staggering statistics from both camps. Bayern Munich away games are a gold mine for goals, with 100 percent of their matches on the road this season exceeding the 2.5 goal threshold. In fact, their away matches average an incredible 4.13 total goals. Leipzig is not far behind, with 63 percent of their home fixtures going over the 2.5 mark, averaging 3.38 total goals per game. Historical data further reinforces this trend, as every single one of the last five league meetings between these two has produced at least three goals. Whether it was the recent 6.0 Bayern win or the exciting 3.3 draw earlier in 2025, these teams simply do not do boring matches. With both sides prioritizing offensive transitions, the probability of a high scoring game at the Red Bull Arena is exceptionally high.
Watch RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Last Match Highlights
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FAQ – RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich are the clear favorites given their 11 point lead at the top and their recent 8.1 win against Wolfsburg.
Where can I watch RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich live?
The RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Bundesliga match will be broadcast live on NOW TV and Sky Sports.
What time does RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30(GMT) on Saturday, January 17, 2026.
Are there any major injuries for this match?
Yes, Leipzig is missing Kampl and Klostermann, while Bayern is without Musiala and potentially Kimmich due to injury issues.
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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