Zambia vs Morocco Prediction Africa Cup of Nations 29.12.2025
Zambia vs Morocco Prediction Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia vs Morocco Prediction and Betting Tips for the third round of the Africa Cup of Nations Group A, scheduled for Monday, December 29, 2025, at 19:00 GMT. This crucial encounter will be broadcast live on Channel 4 and 4Seven. The match takes place at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah in Rabat, where the atmosphere will be electric as the host nation looks to cement their top spot. Morocco currently sits on four points, while Zambia is desperate for a result after picking up two points from their opening two draws. In this article, you will discover the latest Football Predictions from our experts at XpertStats.
- Morocco leads Group A with four points after two matches, following a win against Comoros and a draw with Mali.
- Zambia remains winless in their last 11 Africa Cup of Nations matches, a streak dating back to their 2012 title win.
- The Atlas Lions have dominated this fixture recently, winning all of their last five meetings against Chipolopolo.
- Patson Daka has been the primary source of goals for Zambia, scoring their only strike of the tournament so far.
- The tournament hosts have not lost a match in their last 10 outings across all international competitions.
- Zambia has struggled defensively of late, failing to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five matches.
Zambia enters this contest knowing that their tournament life is on the line. While they have shown resilience to stay unbeaten so far, the lack of a winning edge is a real concern for coach Moses Sichone. The Copper Bullets have relied heavily on Patson Daka for offensive output, but they really need more from their supporting cast if they want to upset the hosts. Defensively, they have looked vulnerable when pressed, and the historical trend of conceding against Morocco is hard to ignore. They tend to favor a low-scoring approach lately, with their recent match against Comoros ending in a stalemate, showing a clear struggle to break down organized defenses. Still, their fighting spirit is undeniable, even if the stats are stacked against them.
The Atlas Lions find themselves under a bit of scrutiny despite leading the group. After a somewhat disjointed 1-1 draw with Mali, fans in Rabat are demanding a more convincing performance from Walid Regragui’s men. Morocco has a wealth of talent, but they have leaned on penalties and set pieces more than open play creativity in this tournament. Even so, their away record and general dominance in Africa are significant. They have a knack for controlling the tempo and usually find a way to break through eventually. With stars like Brahim Diaz in fine form, the pressure is on the attackers to deliver a statement win. It remains to be seen if they can finally click into gear and show why they were pre-tournament favorites.
As we look ahead to this final Group A showdown, the stakes couldn’t be higher for both sides. Morocco wants to secure first place to potentially land an easier path in the knockout stages, while Zambia is fighting just to survive. The historical dominance of the hosts makes them the heavy favorites, but football is rarely that simple. Will the pressure of the home crowd inspire Morocco or weight them down? It is hard to say how this will end given the cagey nature of the group stage so far. However, looking at the recent defensive trends and the quality of individual match-winners on display, the statistical lean suggests a tactical battle. Our football predictions focus on the host’s ability to maintain possession and wear down a stubborn Zambian defense.
Ahead of Morocco's decisive AFCON group stage clash against Zambia, head coach Walid Regragui reaffirmed his status as the right leader for the Atlas Lions. Despite recent criticism following a draw with Mali, Regragui and key defender Achraf Hakimi emphasized the goal of finishing top of the group to stay in Rabat. The coach also highlighted Brahim Diaz as a vital component of the squad's pursuit of continental glory.
Backing Morocco to win is the most sensible play here given the statistical gulf between these two nations. The Atlas Lions have remained unbeaten in their last 10 matches, showing a level of consistency that few teams in Africa can replicate. On the other hand, Zambia has struggled to find a winning formula, managing only one victory in their last 10 outings. The tactical setup under Regragui focuses on high possession and suffocating the opponent, which usually leads to Zambia being forced into deep defensive blocks. Eventually, the quality of the Moroccan midfield should find the necessary gaps. Furthermore, Zambia’s defense has been leaky, conceding nine goals in their last five games. Against an attack featuring En-Nesyri and Diaz, that lack of defensive solidity will likely be exploited. Expect Morocco to exert their dominance early and secure all three points in front of their home fans.
Statistical trends point toward at least two goals in this Rabat showdown. Morocco’s games in 2025 have averaged 2.2 goals per match, while Zambia’s fixtures have been even more volatile, averaging 2.9 goals. This suggests that both teams are involved in matches where the scoreline moves. Even though tournament football can be defensive, the defensive record of Zambia is a concern; they have conceded an average of two goals per match recently. Morocco’s creative players will likely find joy against a backline that has struggled under pressure. Additionally, 67% of the recent meetings between these two have actually gone over 2.5 goals, so the lower threshold of 1.5 seems very achievable. Whether it is a dominant 2-0 win for the hosts or a competitive 1-1 draw, the likelihood of seeing multiple goals is backed by both current form and historical data.
Watch Zambia vs Morocco Last Match Highlights
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FAQ – Zambia vs Morocco Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Zambia and Morocco?
Morocco is the clear favorite given their status as hosts and their perfect record in the last five head to head meetings against Zambia.
Where can I watch Zambia vs Morocco live?
The Zambia vs Morocco Africa Cup of Nations match will be broadcast live on Channel 4 and 4Seven.
What time does Zambia vs Morocco start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 (GMT) on Monday, December 29, 2025.
Author
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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