• Tunisia has won their last six consecutive head to head meetings against Uganda.
• The Carthage Eagles remained unbeaten in World Cup qualifying with nine wins and one draw.
• Tunisia kept a clean sheet in every single one of their ten World Cup qualifying matches.
• Uganda has only secured one victory at the AFCON finals since their 1978 tournament run.
• The Cranes enter this competition facing internal administrative issues that hampered their buildup.
• Augsburg midfielder Elias Saad arrives in fine form with four goal contributions in six games.

Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction and Betting Tips for the Africa Cup of Nations, scheduled for Tuesday, December 23, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on 4Seven and Channel 4. The clash takes place at the Stade Olympique de Rabat, with Tunisia looking to assert their dominance early in the group stages. The North Africans come into this tournament with a point to prove after a disappointing exit in the previous edition, while Uganda aims to bridge the gap against one of the continent’s heavyweights. In this article, you’ll discover Football Stats And Tips from XpertStats tipsters.

Tunisia enters this contest as a disciplined unit under Sami Trabelsi, boasting a defensive record that is nothing short of elite. During their journey to the World Cup, they navigated ten matches without conceding a single goal, showing incredible structural integrity. While their recent AFCON qualification was slightly rocky, finishing behind Comoros, they remain a powerhouse in African football. They tend to control games through possession and a sturdy backline featuring Ali Maaloul and Dylan Bronn. Most of their recent matches have stayed under the 2.5 goal mark due to this “safety first” approach. However, with Elias Saad in the form of his life, they now have the creative spark to break down stubborn low blocks.

On the other side of the pitch, Uganda arrives in Morocco with a mix of hope and significant hurdles. Paul Put has managed to get some decent results, including four wins in recent outings, but the “Cranes” have often struggled when the bright lights of the AFCON shine. History isn’t on their side here, as they have failed to beat Tunisia in their last six attempts. Defensively, they are prone to lapses against top-tier opposition, and their preparations were reportedly disrupted by administrative distractions. They will likely rely on the experience of veteran keeper Denis Onyango to keep them in the game, but keeping a clean sheet against a motivated Tunisian side feels like a tall order for a team that historically struggles for goals in this tournament.

This opening fixture presents a classic case of a continental giant meeting a side trying to rediscover its identity. Tunisia’s historical dominance over Uganda is a psychological weight that the East Africans might find hard to lift, especially given the tactical gulf between the two squads. The Carthage Eagles are experts at grinding out results in tournament football, often relying on their superior technical ability in midfield to dictate the tempo. While Uganda will certainly put up a fight, the statistical trends regarding Tunisia’s defensive solidity suggest a difficult evening for the Cranes. It’s hard to see anything other than a professional performance from the North Africans as they utilize their football stats and tips to navigate this tricky opening match in Rabat.