Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 14 of the French Ligue 1, scheduled for Saturday, November 29, 2025, at 20:05 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and Ligue 1+ (Fra) from the iconic Stade Vélodrome. Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille enter this one in red-hot form, chasing leaders PSG by just two points after demolishing Nice 5-1 last weekend. In this article, you’ll discover Ligue 1 Predictions and insights powered by XpertStats analysts.

• Marseille average 3.5 goals per match at home this season.
• Toulouse have failed to score in two of their last three Ligue 1 games.
• Marseille’s attack has produced 33 goals this campaign, a league high.
• Les Phoceens are unbeaten in 12 home meetings with Toulouse.

Marseille’s numbers speak for themselves. An average of 3.5 goals scored per match, only 1 conceded, and an impressive 83% of their games featuring over 2.5 goals. That’s not luck, that’s dominance. De Zerbi’s men are fluid, fearless, and at home, almost untouchable. The Stade Vélodrome has seen 21 of OM’s 33 league goals this season, and fans expect more fireworks. Mason Greenwood is on fire, now leading the scoring charts with 10 goals, supported by Aubameyang, Paixao, and Weah. Can anyone really slow them down right now?

Still, it’s not just the attack. Marseille have tightened things defensively too, conceding just once in their last five matches across all competitions. The midfield pairing of Vermeeren and O’Riley has added balance, allowing full-backs to push high and feed the wingers. When they score first, they’re ruthless, winning all six Ligue 1 games this season after leading at halftime. That mental edge could be the key again on Saturday night.

As for Toulouse, things have gone a bit sideways lately. Carles Martinez’s men are creative but blunt, averaging only 0.83 goals per match and scoring just once in their last three outings. They’ve got the third-most touches in the opposition box, but the finishing touch is missing. They’ve also struggled on the road, earning just four points from losing positions and failing to win in their last two away games. It’s not for lack of effort, but maybe for lack of belief.

Even so, Toulouse can make things awkward. They commit 16 fouls per match on average and push for corners, with over 9.5 corners in 67% of their games. Still, facing a Marseille side that’s unbeaten in their last 12 home duels against them feels like a mountain climb. Confidence, chemistry, and the Vélodrome roar, all the momentum leans OM’s way. That’s why they’re the clear pick in this Ligue 1 Predictions spotlight.

Ahead of OM’s crucial clash with Toulouse, Leonardo Balerdi and Roberto De Zerbi highlighted the team’s renewed confidence, strengthened by recent Ligue des Champions form and key returns from injury. Balerdi insisted Marseille must “always believe in the title,” while De Zerbi praised the squad’s progress and the unique energy of the Vélodrome. These positive signals underscore OM’s ambition to maintain pressure on PSG.
Source: La Provence