Premier League Predictions Football Predictions

Everton vs Newcastle Prediction Premier League 29.11.2025

Alexandru Florin 28 November 2025

Everton vs Newcastle Prediction Premier League

Everton vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League fixture scheduled for Saturday, November 29, 2025, at 17:30 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and NOW TV from the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Everton enter this clash unbeaten in their last three league games, while Newcastle aim to snap a three-game losing run away from home. For in-depth league insights and more analytics, explore Premier League Stats from XpertStats tipsters.

Everton are unbeaten in three straight Premier League matches, with two consecutive clean sheets.
Newcastle have scored in their last seven league games but lost their last three away fixtures.
Everton’s home form shows a solid defensive base, conceding just 0.83 goals per game.
Newcastle’s away clean sheet rate (50%) remains higher than the league average.

Everton’s recent turnaround has been something to behold. After a rough patch in October, David Moyes’ side have found a rhythm built on grit and tactical discipline. Their 1–0 win over Manchester United, achieved with ten men after Idrissa Gueye’s bizarre dismissal, showed character few expected. The Toffees have now kept two straight clean sheets, conceding only 1.08 goals per match this season. At home, they’ve been steady, averaging 1.17 goals scored and just 0.83 conceded. Can they really make it three wins in a row without letting one in? It’s been a while, April 2024, to be exact, but momentum’s on their side.

Defensively, Everton’s numbers tell a mixed story. While their recent average of 1.25 goals conceded per game over the last eight matches is slightly above their season average, they’ve shown resilience when it counts. That said, their equalising rate of 20% sits well below the league’s 38%, hinting that falling behind early could spell trouble. Still, the energy at the Hill Dickinson Stadium lately feels different, there’s belief in the air, and fans can sense the fight returning.

Newcastle, meanwhile, arrive with a reputation for fast starts but shaky endings. Eddie Howe’s side have scored first in 58% of their matches this season and found the net in each of their last seven league games. The trouble? They’ve lost their last three away games, even after taking the lead in two of them. That’s the kind of stat that haunts a dressing room. Their clean sheet rate on the road (50%) is above the league average, yet lapses late in matches, especially after the 75th minute, have cost them dearly.

Newcastle’s attack, led by the resurgent Harvey Barnes, has looked sharp at home but blunt away. Their average of just 0.5 goals scored per away game contrasts sharply with their strong home form. The Magpies have also conceded 20% more goals per game in recent weeks than their season norm. Even so, with players like Bruno Guimarães controlling the midfield and Barnes rediscovering his scoring touch, it’s hard to write them off entirely. A draw wouldn’t surprise anyone here, and given the numbers, it might just be the smart call. These sides often bring out the best and the nerves, in each other. For more breakdowns, stats, and team form, XpertStats offers detailed coverage through Premier League Stats analysis.

Newcastle manager Eddie Howe offered key injury updates ahead of the Premier League trip to Everton, noting Sven Botman’s back issue and Kieran Trippier’s month-long absence with a hamstring injury. Howe said the match comes too soon for Emile Krafth, while Yoane Wissa continues his recovery after returning to training. He also discussed goalkeeper selection and stressed managing squad fatigue during a demanding schedule. Source: BBC Sport.

1X @1.52
Everton’s form at home makes the 1X (Everton or Draw) option a sensible pick. They’ve lost just one of their last six league games at Hill Dickinson Stadium and come into this fixture after back-to-back wins and two clean sheets. Their defensive setup has tightened: conceding only 0.83 goals per home match. Newcastle, meanwhile, have struggled on the road, losing their last three away games and scoring only 0.5 goals per match. While Eddie Howe’s side have a 58% rate of scoring first, their inability to maintain leads has cost them repeatedly. Everton’s home clean sheet rate (50%) and the Toffees’ growing confidence under Moyes make it difficult to see them losing here. Statistically and psychologically, the edge lies with the home team, though a draw remains a real possibility.