Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League clash scheduled for Saturday, November 29, 2025, at 15:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on DAZN Canada and NBC (USA) from the Etihad Stadium. In this article, you’ll explore detailed insights drawn from Premier League Stats that shape our latest prediction.

• Manchester City have won their last five Premier League home matches, scoring at least twice in each.
• Leeds United have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine league games.
• City have scored the first goal in 75% of their league fixtures this season.
• Leeds have netted 36% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes of matches.

Manchester City come into this one under pressure after back-to-back defeats to Newcastle and Bayer Leverkusen. Pep Guardiola’s side, now sitting third with 22 points, can’t afford another slip if they want to stay in the title conversation. The Etihad has been a fortress lately, with City winning five on the bounce there, scoring at least two goals every time. Their attacking machine is still humming, leading the league for goals in the last eight matches. But can they steady themselves after a rare stumble? That’s the question Guardiola faces heading into Saturday.

Defensively, City remain one of the league’s stingiest outfits, conceding just 0.83 goals per match overall and only 0.67 at home. Still, they’ve shown signs of vulnerability when conceding first, losing all three games where they’ve fallen behind. The key might again be striking early; they’ve scored first in three-quarters of their fixtures. Erling Haaland, born in Leeds, will be hungry to hit the century mark for Premier League goals, while Phil Foden and Jeremy Doku will look to make amends after a quiet showing in midweek.

Leeds United, meanwhile, travel north fighting for air. They sit 18th with 11 points and are coming off three straight league defeats. The main problem? Their defense simply can’t hold. Nine consecutive games without a clean sheet tell the story. They’ve also conceded two or more goals in seven of twelve matches this season. Still, they’re not entirely toothless, they’ve scored in most of their recent fixtures and actually lead the league in early goals, with 36% coming in the opening 15 minutes. Can they shock City again like they did back in 2021? It feels unlikely, but football’s funny that way.

Under Daniel Farke, Leeds have played with courage but little control. The midfield looks threadbare, especially with Sean Longstaff and Anton Stach both sidelined. Ethan Ampadu’s leadership will be crucial if Leeds want to keep things respectable at the Etihad. Lukas Nmecha, who’s found the net early in consecutive games, offers their best hope up front. But away from home, their numbers are bleak: one win in six, just four goals scored, and fifteen conceded. Against a side that’s scored sixteen at home, that’s a worrying contrast.

Expect intensity from both sides, City desperate to reclaim rhythm, Leeds desperate to survive. Recent head-to-head stats favor the hosts, with four straight wins and sixteen goals scored in that span. Even so, Leeds tend to start fast and City rarely keep things quiet for long. All signs point to a game where goals should flow freely. For more data-driven previews like this one, dive into Premier League Stats on XpertStats.