Gremio vs Vasco Prediction and Betting Tips for the Brazilian Serie A, scheduled for Thursday, November 20, 2025, at 00:30. The match will be broadcast live on Claro TV+ (Bra) and Globoplay (Bra) from the Arena do Gremio in Porto Alegre. Gremio sit 14th with 40 points, while Vasco are slightly ahead in 11th on 42. Both sides have struggled for consistency, but with the season closing in, every point could define their destiny. Find more insights and expert analysis on Football Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

• Gremio have won 12 of their last 14 home matches against Vasco da Gama.
• Vasco have scored just one goal in their last three Serie A fixtures.
• Both sides are separated by only two points in the table.
• Kick-off: Thursday, November 20, 2025, Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre.

It’s been a rough November for Gremio. Just one point from three games has dragged them dangerously close to the relegation scrap. Their average of 1.13 goals scored per match isn’t exactly setting the league alight, though they’ve stayed solid defensively with only 0.81 conceded per game. The problem? Holding onto leads. They’ve dropped 13 points after being ahead in the second half this season, a stat that keeps coach Mano Menezes awake at night. Can they steady the ship at home, where they’ve historically dominated Vasco? That’s the million-dollar question.

Even with all their struggles, Gremio remain a force at the Arena. They haven’t lost consecutive home games yet this season, and they’re unbeaten in 14 straight matches at home against Vasco, with 10 wins in that run. There’s pride at stake here. Mano Menezes may be cautious in his approach, missing key players like Villasanti and Balbuena, but the return of Vinicius, who’s bagged seven goals, offers a flicker of hope. Still, the pressure is mounting, and the crowd in Porto Alegre can feel it.

Vasco da Gama, meanwhile, have their own headaches. Fernando Diniz’s men are winless this month, with three straight losses and eight goals conceded. Their attack, led by Rayan and Pablo Vegetti, has dried up at the worst possible time. Yet the Rio side’s numbers suggest potential chaos: 3.13 goals per match on average and 94% of their games seeing over 1.5 goals. They love to open up play, but it often leaves them exposed. Away from home, though, they’ve been unpredictable, winning two of their last three before that 3-0 setback at Botafogo.

History, though, is merciless. Vasco haven’t beaten Gremio away since 2006, and the Arena do Gremio remains a fortress they’ve never conquered. Still, football has a funny way of rewriting its own script. Could this be the night the drought ends? Maybe. But Gremio’s home form, combined with Vasco’s shaky defense, tips the scales slightly in favor of the hosts, or at least a result that keeps both teams within touching distance. Stay tuned for more Football Predictions and updates from XpertStats as the drama unfolds in Porto Alegre.