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Netherlands vs Lithuania Prediction World Cup Qualifiers 17.11.2025

Alexandru Florin 16 November 2025

Netherlands vs Lithuania Prediction World Cup Qualifiers

Netherlands vs Lithuania Prediction and Betting Tips for the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, scheduled for Monday, November 17, 2025, at 19:45 GMT. The game will take place at the iconic Johan Cruijff Arena and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and DAZN. Ronald Koeman’s men need just a point to seal their spot at the finals, while Lithuania are playing for pride. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Football Predictions from the XpertStats team.

The Netherlands need just one point to book their World Cup 2026 ticket.
Lithuania are winless in their qualifying campaign so far.
Memphis Depay scored in the 1-1 draw with Poland on Friday.
Kick-off: Monday, November 17, 2025, 19:45 GMT at Johan Cruijff Arena.

The Netherlands’ qualification party was postponed on Friday after a frustrating 1-1 draw against Poland. It wasn’t the most convincing night for Oranje, who struggled to find their usual rhythm despite dominating possession. Memphis Depay, once again, came to the rescue with a cool finish early in the second half. Can Koeman’s men finish the job now, in front of their home crowd? It’s hard to imagine any other outcome, but football loves a twist.

Still, the numbers are overwhelmingly in the Dutch favor. They’ve lost only once in 2025 and that was a penalty shootout heartbreak against Spain. At home, they’ve been near untouchable, with Virgil van Dijk marshalling a defense that’s conceded just twice in their last five qualifiers. The likes of Cody Gakpo and Xavi Simons bring pace and creativity, and there’s a real sense of balance in Koeman’s current setup. That said, he might rotate slightly to rest tired legs before the next phase.

As for Lithuania, the story couldn’t be more different. Edgaras Jankauskas’ side haven’t tasted victory in the qualifiers and sit bottom of the group. Their goalless draw with Israel last week summed up their campaign, organized, hardworking, but blunt in attack. Captain Fedor Cernych, now the nation’s most-capped player, continues to lead by example, but he can only do so much. The Tricolours will rely heavily on counterattacks and set pieces to find a breakthrough in Amsterdam.

Realistically, it’s damage limitation for Lithuania. Their defense has conceded at least two goals in their last three qualifiers, and facing this Dutch attack could stretch them to the limit. Still, they’ll fight to avoid a whitewash. The Netherlands, meanwhile, won’t settle for less than a confident statement performance. Expect goals, intensity, and that familiar orange swagger as the hosts sign off their group campaign. For more Football Predictions, keep an eye on XpertStats as the road to the World Cup heats up.

The Netherlands can secure World Cup qualification against Lithuania, needing only a draw after the 1-1 result in Poland. A defeat would revive fears of the historic 1983 Malta scenario, when an unlikely scoreline denied Oranje a major tournament. While such a collapse seems improbable, Poland’s match against Malta remains crucial. Otherwise, the play-offs await in March. Source: telegraaf.nl

Over 3.5 Goals @1.59
The Netherlands have scored three or more goals in four of their last six home qualifiers, and they’re facing a Lithuanian side that’s conceded multiple times in nearly every match. Ronald Koeman’s team creates chances in waves, averaging over 2.8 xG per home game. Memphis Depay, Gakpo, and Simons constantly interchange, stretching defenses and forcing errors. Lithuania’s backline, meanwhile, lacks pace and organization, especially without suspended defender Edvinas Girdvainis. Given that the Dutch scored three in the reverse fixture away from home, a high-scoring contest seems likely again. With Oranje eager to end their campaign on a high note, and Lithuania fighting only for pride, an open, goal-filled encounter is on the cards. Over 3.5 Goals looks like a strong play here, with the hosts capable of doing the heavy lifting themselves.