Portugal vs Armenia Prediction and Betting Tips for the World Cup 2026 qualifiers, scheduled for Sunday, November 16, 2025, at 14:00 GMT. The match takes place at the Estádio do Dragão and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and DAZN. Portugal top Group F with ten points, two clear of Hungary, while Armenia sit bottom with three. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Football Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

• Portugal aim to secure top spot in Group F with a win in Porto.
• Armenia look to end their campaign on a high despite elimination.
• Cristiano Ronaldo suspended after red card against Ireland.
• Portugal unbeaten in seven games versus Armenia.

Roberto Martínez’s Portugal come into this clash needing a win to confirm qualification after a disappointing 2-0 defeat in Dublin. That result snapped their unbeaten run and exposed some defensive cracks, but this side rarely falters twice. Bruno Fernandes is back from suspension, while Gonçalo Ramos could lead the line in Ronaldo’s absence. The Selecão haven’t lost to Armenia in seven meetings, and after the earlier 5-0 thrashing in Yerevan, few expect surprises in Porto. Still, football’s funny—one good counterattack and things can change fast.

Portugal’s dominance at home has been a story of control and composure. They’ve scored in every home qualifier since 2021, and the midfield trio of Fernandes, Vitinha, and João Neves should dictate tempo again. Rafael Leão’s expected return adds pace and unpredictability to the attack. The fans at the Dragão will want a statement performance after that Ireland defeat. Martinez said midweek, “We can’t afford another flat night,” and he’s right, momentum heading into the finals matters more than ever.

Armenia, meanwhile, travel with nothing to lose. They’ve struggled to convert chances but shown defensive improvement, conceding just once in each of their last two outings. Eduard Spertsyan remains the key figure in midfield, and his creativity could test Portugal’s shape. Yet, consistency has been the visitors’ biggest enemy, with four losses in five qualifiers. Grant-Leon Ranos will again lead the line, hoping to find space behind Portugal’s high defensive line. Can he really turn things around against such opposition? It feels like a long shot.

Even so, Armenia have earned respect for their resilience. They beat Ireland once and held their own against Hungary, showing flashes of grit. But in Porto, against a Portugal side determined to prove a point, that might not be enough. Expect control, goals, and maybe a touch of redemption from the Selecão. Based on the stats, a strong home win looks very likely and that’s reflected in our Football Predictions for this matchup.