Marseille vs Brest Prediction Ligue 1 08.11.2025
Marseille vs Brest Prediction Ligue 1
Marseille vs Brest Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 12 of Ligue 1, scheduled for Saturday, November 8, 2025, at 16:00 GMT. The match will be played at the Stade Vélodrome and broadcast live on beIN Sports 1 (Fra) and Molotov TV. Roberto De Zerbi’s side sit second in the table, just two points off PSG, and they’ll be desperate to make home advantage count. In this article, you’ll find expert Ligue 1 Predictions and betting insight from XpertStats tipsters.
- Marseille welcome Brest to Stade Vélodrome on Saturday in Matchday 12 of Ligue 1.
- Geoffrey Kondogbia, Bilal Nadir, and Timothy Weah have returned to training for OM.
- Brest are winless in their last five Ligue 1 fixtures, failing to score in the last three.
- Marseille have won three of the last four meetings between the sides.
It’s been a mixed few weeks for Marseille. After a storming run of wins through October, they’ve hit a rough patch, dropping points in four of their last five competitive games. The 1-0 Champions League loss to Atalanta hurt, not just for the scoreline but for the missed chances. Yet there’s a flicker of good news: Kondogbia, Nadir, and Weah are back in full training. Can their return steady the ship? De Zerbi seems cautious but quietly optimistic. “We’ve got depth again,” he hinted this week. That’s a bold move, but maybe the right one.
Statistically, OM look like a team built to entertain. They average 3.6 goals scored per match, conceding only 1.2, with over 1.5 goals landing in 80% of their games. The Vélodrome has been a fortress, and when Marseille strike first, they’ve yet to drop a single domestic point this season. Aubameyang continues to lead the line with flair, while Rulli’s consistency in goal has been a quiet strength. Even so, the challenge is psychological now, can they rediscover that early-season rhythm?
Brest, meanwhile, are in murkier waters. Eric Roy’s side haven’t found the back of the net in three straight Ligue 1 games. They average just 1.2 goals scored and concede around 1.8 per match, a ratio that tells its own story. The defensive shape is patchy, the transitions slow, and when confidence dips, it shows. Yet, they’re not pushovers, they’ve managed to grind out results away from home before, and they’ll arrive in Marseille with quiet defiance. Can Del Castillo and Ajorque change their luck up front? It’s hard to say.
History favors the hosts. Marseille have taken three of the last four meetings, scoring freely in each. Brest haven’t won at the Vélodrome since May 2023, and repeating that feat now feels like a tall order. Still, football has its surprises. If Brest can stay compact and nick a goal early, they might make a contest of it. But right now, all signs point toward OM tightening their grip at home. Expect goals, energy, and a fight, but the edge lies with De Zerbi’s men. For more Ligue 1 Predictions, keep it locked on XpertStats.
Marseille’s dominance at home is hard to overlook. They’ve won every Ligue 1 match this season when scoring first, and their attacking power is unmatched – averaging 3.6 goals per game. Brest, in contrast, haven’t scored in their last three league outings and are leaking nearly two goals per match. Even with recent fatigue from European competition, OM’s quality and depth should make the difference. With Kondogbia and Weah back in contention, De Zerbi has more flexibility to control the midfield. Brest’s 40% BTTS rate suggests they struggle to create consistent chances. Add to that the fact Marseille have won three of the last four head-to-heads, and the picture becomes clear: OM are the stronger side technically, mentally, and statistically. A home win feels the logical outcome given their form and Brest’s bluntness in attack.
Statistically, this fixture screams “goals.” Marseille’s attack has been explosive all season, hitting over 1.5 goals in 80% of matches. Brest, despite their struggles, have been involved in high-scoring games, also posting an 80% over 1.5 rate. OM’s average of 3.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game shows just how open their matches can be. Brest’s defensive lapses make them vulnerable, especially away from home. Even if Brest fail to score again, Marseille have enough quality to clear the line on their own. With Kondogbia and Nadir back adding control to midfield transitions, the home side should dictate play. Expect goals and plenty of them.
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FAQ – Marseille vs Brest Prediction
Who will win between Marseille and Brest?
Marseille are clear favorites at home, given their scoring record and Brest’s recent struggles in front of goal.
Where can I watch the Marseille vs Brest live?
The Marseille vs Brest Ligue 1 match will be broadcast live on beIN Sports 1 and Molotov TV.
What time does Marseille vs Brest start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 16:00 (GMT) on Saturday, November 8, 2025.
