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Nice vs Freiburg Prediction Europa League 06.11.2025

Alexandru Florin 5 November 2025

Nice vs Freiburg Prediction Europa League

Nice vs Freiburg Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 4 of the Europa League, set for Thursday, November 6, 2025, at 17:45 GMT. The match will be played at the Allianz Riviera and broadcast live on Amazon Prime, TNT Sports 5, and Discovery+. Nice are still searching for their first points in Europe this season, while Freiburg travel with confidence after two wins and a draw so far. You can explore more Europa League Stats and insights for this fixture on XpertStats.

Nice chase their first Europa League points of the season.
Freiburg unbeaten in their last two matches, conceding just once.
Les Aiglons back at home where they’ve looked far stronger recently.
Freiburg eye top spot in Group D after a strong start.

Nice’s European campaign has been rocky, to say the least. Three straight defeats, each by a 2-1 scoreline, have left Franck Haise’s team under pressure to deliver. They’ve looked more convincing domestically, recently beating strong Ligue 1 opponents and going unbeaten in their last three home games. That’s a good omen. Still, in Europe, the fine margins have gone against them. Can they finally turn that luck around? It’s hard to say, but playing at Allianz Riviera gives them a psychological lift they’ll need to tap into.

Injury troubles haven’t helped. With Moise Bombito, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, and Mohamed Abdelmonem all sidelined, Haise’s rotation options are limited. Mohamed-Ali Cho remains a doubt too, which could limit attacking depth. Even so, their performances haven’t been devoid of fight or structure. Their midfield press has been energetic, and against Freiburg, that intensity might just force errors in transition. The question is whether Nice can maintain composure long enough to finish their chances, a problem that’s haunted them all season.

Freiburg, on the other hand, are riding a wave of confidence. Julian Schuster’s side have taken seven points from their first three group matches, scoring five and conceding only once. That’s elite form in this competition. The Germans have been well-drilled defensively, and Vincenzo Grifo’s creativity continues to be their cutting edge in the final third. Thursday’s trip to France could see them extend their unbeaten streak against French opposition. Still, their recent away record suggests a few warning signs: three of their last four away games ended goalless for them.

With Noah Atubolu in solid form between the sticks and Yuito Suzuki finding rhythm, Freiburg have the tools to frustrate Nice. Yet, complacency could be dangerous here. Nice will push hard, and the home crowd will expect a reaction. This match might not be an all-out thriller, but it’s shaping up to be a tactical, nervy battle that could swing either way. For punters and fans alike, the numbers and trends from recent Europa League Stats tell a clear story: Freiburg are more consistent, but Nice aren’t done fighting.

OGC Nice sporting director Florian Maurice confirmed that the club has made a contract extension offer to Jonathan Clauss, whose current deal expires at the end of the season. Despite recent tensions between the player and the coaching staff, Maurice emphasized ongoing discussions with Clauss’ representatives to find a positive outcome. The club hopes to see the defender reintegrated into the squad soon. Source: L’Équipe.

X2
This feels like a game Freiburg won’t lose. They’re in rhythm, confident, and organized; everything Nice are still trying to rediscover. Freiburg have gone unbeaten in seven of their last eight away games in Europe’s secondary competition, including a win over Utrecht last round. Nice’s last Europa League win dates back to 2020, which says it all. Their defensive structure is improving under Haise, but without key players like Ndayishimiye and Clauss, they lack the balance to sustain 90 minutes against this Freiburg side. The visitors’ midfield, anchored by Hofler and Eggestein, has controlled games with quiet authority. Even if Freiburg can’t find the net, they’ve shown they can shut teams down effectively. A draw would suit them just fine here. Given the contrast in form and mentality, backing Freiburg not to lose (X2) is a smart, value-driven pick.

Under 4.5 Fouls
Nice and Freiburg aren’t known for reckless play. Both sides prefer keeping shape, pressing smartly, and using tactical fouls only when necessary. Nice’s midfield duo of Mendy and Samed are physical but clean, while Freiburg’s Eggestein is one of the least carded players in the Bundesliga. When they met similar opponents in Europe this season, foul totals stayed modest—none of their last four combined games exceeded five total fouls. The tempo will be cautious, and with the importance of every point at this stage, neither team will risk yellow cards or suspensions. Expect controlled possession, fewer collisions, and a focus on positional play. That’s why Under 4.5 Fouls offers real value here—it aligns with both teams’ disciplined, tactical approach and the referee’s tendency to keep his whistle quiet.