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Sassuolo vs Genoa Prediction Serie A 03.11.2025

Alexandru Florin 2 November 2025

Sassuolo vs Genoa Prediction Serie A

Sassuolo vs Genoa Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 10 of Serie A, scheduled for Monday, November 3, 2025, at 17:30 GMT. The game will take place at the Mapei Stadium and will be broadcast live on DAZN and Sky GO (Ita). Sassuolo sit mid-table with 13 points, while Genoa, rooted to the bottom, are desperate for their first win. In this article, you’ll find our expert insights and Serie A Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

Sassuolo aim to continue their strong home form at the Mapei Stadium.
Genoa remain winless after nine Serie A matches this season.
Andrea Pinamonti faces his former club after scoring in consecutive games.
Domenico Criscito takes charge of Genoa following Vieira’s dismissal.

It’s been a mixed bag for Sassuolo lately. After a short slump, they bounced back with a gritty 2-1 victory over Cagliari last Thursday. Andrea Pinamonti and Armand Laurienté delivered the goals, reminding fans what this side can do when confidence flows. Fabio Grosso’s men have averaged one goal scored and one conceded per game, steady but far from spectacular. Still, at home they’ve shown bite, winning half of their four matches. Can they turn the Mapei into a fortress again? It’s hard to say, but the energy feels right.

On the other side, Genoa’s crisis runs deep. After Patrick Vieira’s exit, Domenico Criscito steps in with the impossible task of reviving a team that’s forgotten how to win. They’ve scored just four times this season and concede 1.75 per match. That’s rough going. Even so, they tend to make life hard for opponents, with every game going over 1.5 goals and a fiery 27.75 fouls per match. You can almost feel the frustration in their play, tackles flying, tempers flaring. Maybe that’s their only way to fight back right now.

Sassuolo, statistically, commit and endure plenty of fouls themselves, over 30 per game combined between giving and receiving. It’s a clear sign of their high-tempo, physical approach under Grosso. Add Genoa’s intensity, and you’ve got the perfect recipe for a scrappy, stop-start match. Over 25.5 fouls feels like a fair shout here. Not pretty, but definitely passionate football.

Looking at the bigger picture, the Neroverdi’s creative duo, Pinamonti and Laurienté, have scored half of the team’s total goals so far, while Berardi’s potential return could light things up even more. For Genoa, Colombo and Ekhator will have to dig deep if they want to break their scoring drought. It’s not all doom and gloom, but unless something shifts soon, Sassuolo seem likelier to walk away with the points. For more bold takes and tactical breakdowns, check out our Serie A Predictions section.

Following Patrick Vieira’s sudden resignation, Genoa have appointed Roberto Murgita and Mimmo Criscito as interim coaches ahead of their clash with Sassuolo. The decision came after a turbulent week marked by internal uncertainty and poor results, with just three points from nine games. Club directors are now evaluating several long-term options, including De Rossi, Palladino, Vanoli, and Gotti, as Genoa seek stability in a difficult Serie A campaign. Source: gazzetta.it.

Over 25.5 Fouls @1.55
Both sides play with heavy physical intensity, and the numbers back that up. Sassuolo matches average a staggering 30.25 fouls, driven by their 13.75 committed and 16.5 suffered per game. Genoa are not far behind, combining for 27.75 fouls on average, often using aggression to make up for technical gaps. With Criscito now in charge and fighting for his job, expect a combative approach designed to unsettle Sassuolo’s rhythm. Both midfields rely on tactical fouls to break momentum, and with pressure mounting on Genoa, frustration could boil over quickly. This fixture feels tailor-made for stoppages and hard challenges. Over 25.5 fouls looks not only likely but logical given the stats.