Brighton vs Leeds Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 10 of the Premier League, scheduled for November 1, 2025, at 15:00 GMT. The game will be played at the Amex Stadium and broadcast live on Amazon Prime and DAZN. Brighton and Leeds meet again after a dramatic 2-2 draw in their last top-flight encounter. This time, both sides have plenty at stake as they chase mid-table stability. In this article, you’ll find expert analysis and Premier League Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

• Brighton unbeaten in last 8 home league matches.
• Leeds have never won at the Amex Stadium.
• Both sides average 3 goals per match this season.
• Brighton’s Danny Welbeck scored 5 in his last 4 Premier League appearances.

Brighton’s recent run has been rocky. After five unbeaten matches in all competitions, Fabian Hurzeler’s men stumbled with defeats to Manchester United (4-2) and Arsenal (2-0). Despite dominating the Gunners with 17 shots, they couldn’t find the net, a frustration that still lingers. “It’s a strange feeling,” Hurzeler admitted post-match, hinting at fatigue but promising “the right support” for his players. Still, Brighton’s numbers don’t lie: they’ve scored in every home game this season, average 1.75 goals per match, and have seen both teams score in 100% of their games. The issue isn’t attack, it’s keeping the back door shut.

Defensively, Brighton remain inconsistent, conceding in 20 of their last 21 league fixtures. Yet there’s comfort in history: they’ve kept clean sheets in each of their last seven home games against Leeds. That’s no fluke. Their organized midfield, powered by Baleba and Ayari, has been key in controlling tempo. And Danny Welbeck’s current form: five goals in his last four Premier League outings, might just be the difference again. Can the Seagulls turn pressure into precision? It feels like the moment to do it.

Leeds United, on the other hand, finally breathed a little last week. Their 2-1 win over West Ham snapped a three-game winless run and lifted them six points clear of the drop zone. But consistency remains elusive. Daniel Farke’s side have scored just 0.75 goals per match while conceding an average of 2.25. Despite creating chances, Leeds struggle to convert, with a meager 6% shot conversion rate in October. Even so, there’s grit in this squad. Players like Joe Rodon and Brenden Aaronson have shown flashes of resilience, but an away record of D3 L6 against Brighton doesn’t inspire much optimism.

Heading into Saturday, Leeds will likely stick with the same defensive setup, though Gabriel Gudmundsson’s return could add some stability. But their Achilles heel remains the final third. Across their last seven visits to the Amex, 30 different Leeds players have fired shots without scoring. That’s an almost superstitious drought. Against a Brighton side desperate to bounce back, this could prove decisive. Expect intensity, goals, and maybe a bit of chaos, the perfect recipe for an October Premier League clash. For fans looking to follow more match insights and analysis, check out our Premier League Predictions page for in-depth stats and betting angles.