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Union Berlin vs Monchengladbach Prediction Bundesliga 17.10.2025

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Union Berlin vs Monchengladbach Prediction Bundesliga 17.10.2025

Union Berlin vs Monchengladbach Prediction Bundesliga

Union Berlin vs Monchengladbach Prediction and Betting Tips for Friday night’s Bundesliga showdown at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei. With both sides under pressure, Union hope to rediscover their spark at home, while Gladbach chase their first win of the season. For more match insights and expert picks, check out Bundesliga Predictions from XpertStats.

  • Union Berlin aim to snap a two-game losing streak after a long goal drought.
  • Monchengladbach are still without a league win after 13 Bundesliga games.
  • Both sides average over 11 corners per match, hinting at an open contest.
  • Expect a physical battle: Union average 31 fouls per match, Gladbach 22.5.


Union Berlin desperately needed that international break. After two straight Bundesliga defeats without scoring, Steffen Baumgart’s men used the downtime to regroup and it paid off, at least partially, with a 3-0 friendly win over FSV Luckenwalde. But friendlies are one thing, real Bundesliga pressure is another. Union’s defensive issues have been glaring, conceding 1.67 goals per game on average, while scoring just 1.33. That imbalance has left them 13th in the table, yet they’ve shown flashes of resilience, picking up four points in their last three matches. Can they turn those flashes into something more consistent?

The stats paint an interesting picture. Union’s matches tend to be high event, averaging over 11 corners and 31 fouls per game, the kind of numbers that suggest chaos, not control. Their 67% rate of over 2.5 goals shows games often open up, even if it’s not always in their favor. Still, they’ve proven tough to beat at home historically, with four wins from their last six home meetings against Gladbach. That home edge could prove crucial under Friday night lights.

For Borussia Monchengladbach, it’s been a rough start to the season. No wins in 13 Bundesliga matches is a brutal stat, and it ultimately cost Gerardo Seoane his job. Interim boss Eugen Polanski has steadied the ship slightly with draws against Freiburg and Leverkusen, but the 6-4 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt still haunts them. Offensively, they’ve struggled badly, averaging just 0.5 goals per game. Defensively, though, they’ve been a bit steadier than Union, conceding 1 goal per match on average. It’s a team clearly lacking confidence, but perhaps ready to fight their way back.

Even so, Gladbach’s attacking patterns are improving, and Polanski seems to be building spirit in the camp. Their recent 3-2 win over Munster in a friendly might not mean much on paper, but psychologically, it matters. The question is whether they can carry that energy into a hostile Berlin atmosphere. They’ve beaten Union twice in a row, so the belief will be there. But in a fixture as physical and unpredictable as this, one thing seems certain, it won’t be pretty. Expect fouls, tension, and possibly frustration before the night’s over. For more upcoming match insights, check our other Bundesliga Predictions and stay one step ahead of the weekend action.

New Borussia Monchengladbach sporting director Rouven Schröder emphasized unity and focus during his first press conference, outlining a clear, hands-on approach to stabilizing the club’s Bundesliga campaign. Backing interim coach Eugen Polanski, Schröder praised his positive influence and confirmed no immediate search for a new sporting director. He also hinted at potential winter transfers, particularly to strengthen the defense. Source: kicker.de.

Prediction
Over 21.5 Fouls @1.92
Union Berlin vs Monchengladbach is shaping up to be a gritty, physical clash — the numbers make that crystal clear. Union average a massive 17.33 fouls committed per match and win another 14 on average, making their games some of the scrappiest in the Bundesliga. Monchengladbach aren’t far behind either, averaging 14 fouls committed per game. Combined, that’s well over 30 potential fouls in a single fixture. Both sides rely heavily on duels and pressing, particularly Union at home, where Baumgart’s side thrive on intensity and physicality. Add to that the pressure of both clubs chasing a much-needed win, and you get a contest where tempers will flare. Midfield battles between Khedira and Reitz could see repeated stoppages. It’s hard to see this one staying clean — Over 21.5 fouls feels like a strong angle supported by pure data and situational tension.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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