Serie A Predictions Football Predictions

Udinese vs Lazio Prediction Serie A 27.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 26 December 2025

Udinese vs Lazio Prediction Serie A

Udinese vs Lazio Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 17 of the Italian Serie A, scheduled for Saturday, December 27, 2025, at 17:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on DAZN and Paramount+ from the Bluenergy Stadium in Udine. This clash features two sides separated by a single point in the middle of the table, making it a high stakes finale to the calendar year. In this article, you’ll discover Serie A Prediction from XpertStats tipsters.

Udinese averages exactly 1 goal scored per game when playing at their home stadium.
Lazio has conceded only 0.75 goals per match on average during their away travels.
The visitors have seen 0% of their away matches end with both teams scoring.
Udinese conceded five goals last weekend against a previously winless side in the league.
Lazio sits in 8th place, holding a slim one point lead over their hosts.
Only 13% of Lazio’s away fixtures this season have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark.

The home side enters this contest following a truly bizarre result. After a disciplined victory over Napoli, Kosta Runjaic saw his team fall apart in Florence, losing 5-1 to Fiorentina. That disaster was sparked by a seventh minute red card for Maduka Okoye, who will now be suspended for this game. It is hard to say how this will end because Udinese has been the definition of inconsistent. Still, their home record remains respectable with five wins across all competitions. Can they find the net? With an average of 14.88 shots per match at home, they certainly try, but they only convert about 1 goal per game on average.

Lazio is preparing a significant squad overhaul this January after receiving financial clearance to resume market activity. Lorenzo Insigne is set to reunite with Maurizio Sarri on a six-month deal, potentially serving as a tactical "false nine." Meanwhile, the club is targeting midfield reinforcements, prioritizing Atalanta’s Lazar Samardzic or Milan’s Loftus-Cheek to enhance technical quality as they look to reshape the roster for the season's second half.

Source: gazzetta.it

Under 2.5 Goals @1.62
When analyzing this matchup, the most glaring statistic is Lazio's extreme defensive efficiency combined with their offensive struggles on the road. In their away fixtures this season, Lazio has averaged only 1.25 total goals per match. Even more telling is that they have conceded only 0.75 goals per game while scoring a meager 0.5. With only 13% of their away games going over the 2.5 mark, Maurizio Sarri has clearly prioritized a "safety first" approach. Udinese, coming off a demoralizing 5-1 loss, will likely retreat into a more compact defensive shape to avoid another collapse. Furthermore, the absence of starting goalkeeper Maduka Okoye for Udinese and key attackers like Boulaye Dia for Lazio due to AFCON or suspensions suggests a lack of clinical finishing. The stats point toward a low scoring affair where one goal might decide everything.