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Stuttgart vs St Pauli Prediction 19.09.2025

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Stuttgart vs St Pauli Prediction 19.09.2025

Stuttgart vs St Pauli Prediction 19.09.2025

Stuttgart vs St Pauli Prediction and Betting Tips for Round Four of the Bundesliga, scheduled for Friday, September 19, at the MHP Arena. One side is desperate to steady the ship, the other flying high. In this article, you’ll also find Bundesliga Predictions from XpertStats experts.

  • Stuttgart have lost two of their first three Bundesliga matches this season.
  • St Pauli remain unbeaten in the league after three rounds, sitting inside the top four.
  • Stuttgart hold a dominant historical record with nine wins in the last 11 meetings.
  • Injuries remain an issue for both sides, with key players sidelined ahead of Friday night.


Stuttgart’s season couldn’t have started much worse. Two defeats in their opening three games leave them chasing stability, a far cry from the energy they showed last term. Last weekend’s collapse at Freiburg, where they led for more than an hour before conceding three late goals, hurt badly. Defensive frailty has been the recurring theme, with five goals conceded already in the league, plus four more in their shaky DFB Pokal outing. Can Sebastian Hoeness really turn this ship around? It feels like a defining moment in their campaign.

Injuries haven’t helped Stuttgart’s cause either. Deniz Undav, Silas, and Justin Diehl are still out, robbing the Swabians of attacking spark. The return of Fabian Bredlow in goal is close, but probably not in time for this clash. That said, Stuttgart’s record against St Pauli offers a glimmer of hope: nine wins in the last 11 meetings suggests history is firmly on their side. Maybe that’s the thread they’ll cling to in front of their home crowd.

On the other hand, St Pauli are playing with the kind of swagger that comes when momentum is on your side. Alexander Blessin’s men haven’t tasted defeat since July, and their comeback against Dortmund on opening weekend felt like a statement: they’re not here just to make up the numbers. Beating Hamburg away and then Augsburg at home only added fuel to that fire. From survival battlers last season to top-four dreamers now, it’s been quite a transformation.

Even with a couple of injury concerns: Ricky-Jade Jones and David Nemeth remain sidelined, St Pauli look confident and well-drilled. Jackson Irvine’s return gives them more bite in midfield, while their unbeaten run across competitions speaks for itself. Friday night in Stuttgart might just be another chapter in their surprising rise, but the Swabians’ desperation could make things unpredictable. Either way, this clash feels like it has the drama every fan craves, and it could play a key role in shaping both clubs’ early-season trajectory. One thing’s for sure: Bundesliga Predictions don’t get much tougher than this.

Stuttgart head coach Sebastian Hoeneß stressed the importance of showing more intensity and aggression after last week’s defeat at Freiburg, highlighting areas where his side must improve. With St Pauli arriving unbeaten and defensively solid, the challenge looks tough, though Hoeneß confirmed Ameen Al-Dakhil is fit again. Still, Stuttgart remain without Deniz Undav, Silas, Justin Diehl, and Leonidas Stergiou for Friday’s clash at the MHP Arena.

Source: VfB.de.

Prediction
Both Teams to Score @1.73
Backing Both Teams to Score feels like a strong angle for this one. Stuttgart may be struggling for results, but they’ve still found the net in every game so far, including against Freiburg where Deniz Undav’s absence didn’t stop them from creating chances. Defensive stability, though, is another story. Five goals conceded in three Bundesliga outings tell you everything, not to mention the four they shipped in the Pokal against Eintracht Braunschweig. On the flip side, St Pauli’s confidence in front of goal is soaring. They scored twice against Dortmund, twice against Augsburg, and even their fringe players got on the scoresheet in cup action. With Jackson Irvine returning to midfield, their attacking balance looks even better. History suggests Stuttgart won’t roll over easily, and with the home crowd urging them on, they’re likely to respond offensively. In short: both sides have goals in them, and the defenses don’t look watertight.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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