Strasbourg vs Marseille Prediction Ligue 1 26.09.2025


Strasbourg vs Marseille Prediction Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Marseille Prediction and Betting Tips for Friday’s Ligue 1 showdown at Stade de la Meinau. The hosts are chasing a fourth straight home victory, while OM seek their first points on the road. For more insight, check out our Ligue 1 Predictions from the XpertStats team.
- Strasbourg look to keep their flawless home record intact on Friday night.
- Marseille arrive fresh from a rare win over PSG but struggle away from home.
- Both sides are aiming to stay close to the Ligue 1 leaders early in the campaign.
- Key absentees for both squads could play a decisive role in this matchup.
Strasbourg’s resilience has been the story so far. Late goals, dramatic turnarounds, and a never-say-die attitude have put Liam Rosenior’s men near the summit. Last weekend’s 3-2 win over Paris FC was another nail-biter, with two strikes arriving in the final 15 minutes. That makes it four match-winning goals scored in the dying stages already this season. Can they keep pulling it off? At home, they’ve been untouchable: three wins out of three, not a single goal conceded, and the roar of La Meinau behind them.
Le Racing’s numbers are impressive. Since the start of 2025, only PSG have more league victories. Nine of those wins came at home, where Strasbourg are building a fortress. Friday offers the chance to record three straight home clean sheets for the first time since 2022. Historically, Marseille have dominated this head-to-head, but Strasbourg did edge a 1-0 win in this fixture last season. Another repeat would feel like a statement of intent.
As for Marseille, their fans finally got what they’d been waiting over a decade for: a home win against PSG. Roberto De Zerbi’s side barely had the ball, yet somehow ground out a 1-0 victory at the Velodrome. That kind of grit matters. But away from Marseille? It’s been another story. Two trips, two losses, and not much to cheer about. If they slip up again, it would be their worst away start since 2016. Hardly the confidence boost they need.
Still, you can’t write them off. Players like Mason Greenwood and Amine Gouiri bring firepower, and if OM score first, they tend to win. The problem? Falling behind has been fatal, as they’ve collected zero points from losing positions this season. Facing a Strasbourg side that thrives on late drama, that’s a risky trend. This one has the feel of a tight, bruising contest. Fans in Alsace won’t mind if it’s scrappy, as long as their unbeaten home record stays alive. Either way, it’s shaping up to be one of the most intriguing battles of the round. For bettors and fans alike, it’s another reminder why Ligue 1 Predictions matter.
On the eve of Marseille’s trip to Strasbourg, coach Roberto De Zerbi admitted expectations are higher after their landmark win against PSG. Suspended from the bench on Friday, he acknowledged Strasbourg’s energy and discipline make them tough opponents, while praising versatile players like Matt O’Riley and Timothy Weah for their impact. De Zerbi insisted his absence won’t unsettle the squad, showing confidence in his staff to guide OM through this crucial clash (L’Équipe).
Backing Strasbourg double chance (1X) feels the safest play here. Rosenior’s men are unbeaten at home this season, boasting three wins and zero goals conceded at Stade de la Meinau. Their resilience is striking: four of their decisive goals have come in the final ten minutes, proof of both fitness and mentality. Marseille, meanwhile, continue to struggle away. They’ve lost both road games this season and have only one win from their last eight away league fixtures overall. Roberto De Zerbi’s side showed fight in beating PSG at home, but traveling remains their Achilles’ heel. Historically, Strasbourg haven’t always dominated this matchup, but they did beat Marseille at home last season. With OM still searching for rhythm away and Strasbourg thriving in front of their fans, the value lies with the hosts avoiding defeat. A draw is possible, but all signs point to Strasbourg at least holding firm.