Slovenia vs Sweden Prediction 05.09.2025
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Slovenia vs Sweden Prediction
Slovenia vs Sweden Prediction and Betting Tips ahead of Friday’s World Cup qualifier at Stadion Stozice. Both teams enter in good form, setting up a high-stakes opening clash. For full tournament coverage, don’t miss our World Cup Predictions page with expert analysis from XpertStats.
- Slovenia unbeaten in their last five matches, strong home form at Stadion Stozice.
- Sweden won eight of their last ten fixtures, scoring freely but conceding often.
- Slovenia never beaten Sweden in four meetings, but confidence is rising.
- Jan Oblak and Benjamin Sesko key figures for Slovenia, Gyokeres the danger man for Sweden.
Slovenia step into this game with quiet confidence. Matjaz Kek’s men may not have the best historical record against Sweden, but recent form suggests they’re hard to beat. Undefeated in their last five outings, the Slovenians also boast a fortress-like record at Stadion Stozice, just one loss in their last 18 matches on home soil. Jan Oblak anchors the back line, while Benjamin Sesko is expected to lead the attack, hoping to silence doubts after a tough start in England. Still, scoring remains an issue; Slovenia have netted only four times in their last four games. Can they finally turn control into goals?
What makes this fixture intriguing is Slovenia’s resilience. Their last competitive win came against Bosnia & Herzegovina, a scrappy 2-1 fight that showed grit more than flair. And while they’ve never beaten Sweden in four tries, that 1-1 draw back in September 2022 was proof they can hold their own. A victory on Friday would mark their fourth in a row and, perhaps more importantly, send a statement that this team isn’t here just to make up the numbers.
Sweden, under Jon Dahl Tomasson, arrive with their own swagger. Eight wins in their last ten games show consistency, and their attack has been buzzing. Viktor Gyokeres is in lethal form, while Alexander Isak’s availability remains uncertain after his high-profile move to Liverpool. Even so, Sweden have scored two or more goals in nine of their last ten matches. That said, defensive lapses remain a concern, with only one clean sheet in their last four. If Oblak shuts the door early, frustration could creep in for the visitors.
Sweden’s away form, however, cannot be overlooked. Three wins in their last five on the road show they travel well, and their overall head-to-head dominance over Slovenia suggests they won’t be short on belief. Still, Slovenia’s home crowd, a defense marshalled by Oblak, and the hunger of Sesko give this game a knife-edge feel. This one looks less like a walkover and more like a test of character. The momentum, the atmosphere, the stakes: all set for a dramatic showdown. No matter what, it’s a clash that adds another chapter to the unpredictable road toward the World Cup Predictions spotlight.
Backing Slovenia on the double chance market (1X) makes sense given their impressive home record. At Stadion Stozice, they’ve lost only once in their last 18 matches, with 11 wins in that period. That’s not a coincidence this stadium is a real fortress. Matjaz Kek’s side might not score heavily, but they defend with incredible discipline, conceding just once in their last four outings. Sweden, by contrast, come in full of goals but also defensive instability, having kept only one clean sheet in their last four. Without certainty around Alexander Isak’s fitness, much of the attacking burden falls on Viktor Gyokeres. That’s a bold challenge against Oblak, one of the world’s best goalkeepers. History may not favor Slovenia, but momentum and confidence are on their side. Given form, venue, and Sweden’s defensive gaps, Slovenia avoiding defeat feels like the smart play.
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