LaLiga Predictions Football Predictions

Real Sociedad vs Girona Prediction LaLiga 12.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 11 December 2025

Real Sociedad vs Girona Prediction LaLiga

Real Sociedad vs Girona Prediction and Betting Tips for La Liga’s Matchday 16, scheduled for Friday, December 12, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Premier Sports 2 and DAZN Espana from the Reale Arena in San Sebastian. Real Sociedad sit 14th in the table with 16 points, while Girona are fighting to escape the relegation zone with just 12 points. In this article, you’ll find the latest insights and LaLiga Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

Real Sociedad seek redemption after their loss to Alaves.
Girona desperate to end their winless streak away from home.
Over 23.5 fouls looks promising given both teams’ physical styles.
Key absences could impact both sides’ attacking rhythm.

It’s been a rollercoaster season for Real Sociedad. Four wins from 15 matches just isn’t enough for a team that once danced with Europe’s elite. The Basques have averaged 1.57 goals scored and conceded per match, showing both their attacking spark and defensive leaks. Their games are lively too, over 2.5 goals in 71% of fixtures. Still, after a frustrating 1–0 loss to Alaves, coach Sergio Francisco admitted his side looked “unrecognizable” in the first half. Can he really turn things around at home? Maybe. La Real tend to respond well under pressure, collecting 10 of their 16 points at the Reale Arena.

Even so, Girona’s visit won’t be easy to navigate. The Catalan side may be stuck in 18th place, but they’re stubborn and occasionally unpredictable. Their matches have seen over 1.5 goals in 100% of outings and both teams scoring in 71%, so goals aren’t the issue. The problem? Defense. They’ve leaked an average of 2.14 goals per game, the worst record in La Liga. Coming off a 3–0 loss to Elche, coach Michel was honest: “We made too many mistakes.” That’s a bold admission, but maybe the right one.

Statistically, Real Sociedad hold the upper hand. Girona haven’t beaten them since 2010, and the Basques have claimed victory in the last two meetings, including last season’s 3–2 thriller. But history doesn’t win matches. Real’s injury list is long: Oyarzabal, Oskarsson, Zubeldia, and Herrera are all sidelined. Without their talismanic captain, they’ll rely on Barrenetxea’s spark and Brais Mendez’s creativity to break Girona’s back line. It’s hard to say how this will end, but expect intensity from the opening whistle.

Fouls could tell the story here. Real Sociedad commit 16.14 fouls per match on average, while Girona add 12 more to the mix. That’s already near the 30-mark combined, a clear sign this game might get scrappy. Tight space, high tension, and desperation points? Perfect ingredients for over 23.5 fouls. It might not be pretty, but it’ll be fierce. Check our LaLiga Predictions section for more upcoming fixtures and smart betting analysis from our experts.

Real Sociedad president Jokin Aperribay emphasized that the club’s progress depends on “evolution, demand and confidence,” urging patience as the team works to improve recent results. He highlighted the strength of the academy, insisting that solutions often lie within rather than in external signings. Aperribay also noted the club’s financial stability and readiness to compete amid growing foreign investment in LaLiga. Source: as.com

Over 23.5 Fouls @1.58
Real Sociedad average a whopping 30.57 fouls per game when combining those they commit and those they draw. Girona aren’t far behind at 24.71. That’s a combined 55.28 fouls per match on average between the two sides, way above the 23.5 line. Both teams press high and rely on physical duels, especially in midfield. Real Sociedad’s midfielders like Mendez and Zubimendi often engage in tactical fouls to stop transitions, while Girona’s defenders struggle against pace and commit fouls in wide areas. Add the tension of a relegation battle and it’s easy to picture a tight, stop-start game. Historical matchups between sides in this position often lean scrappy rather than smooth. Over 23.5 fouls feels not only possible but probable given their physicality, desperation, and playing styles.