Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 11 of La Liga, scheduled for Saturday, November 1, 2025, at 17:30 GMT. The game will take place at the Reale Arena and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and LaLiga TV. Both Basque rivals are looking for a statement win as they face off once again in one of Spain’s most heated derbies. In this article, you’ll discover LaLiga Stats that shed light on the key numbers driving this encounter.

• Real Sociedad average 11.6 corners per match this season.
• Athletic Bilbao record 11 corners per game on average, with 75% of matches over 8.5 corners.
• Sociedad’s attack leans on Oyarzabal, while Bilbao struggle to convert chances.
• Basque derbies are traditionally tight but full of intensity and set-piece action.

Real Sociedad enter the derby with cautious optimism. Despite sitting 17th in the table with just nine points from 10 games, Sergio Francisco’s side seem to be finding their rhythm again. Two wins from their last three in all competitions have lifted the mood, including a 2-1 league win over Sevilla. With 1.2 goals scored and conceded on average, La Real’s balance is fragile but improving. What really stands out, though, is their relentless attacking pressure, averaging 7.2 corners won per match and hitting the over 8.5 corners mark in 80% of their games. That tells you everything about their style: wide play, overlapping full-backs, and constant pressure in the final third.

Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, come into this with more points but less conviction. Ernesto Valverde’s men are ninth with 14 points, yet their attack feels blunt: only 0.5 goals scored per match, one of the lowest tallies among the top ten sides. Still, they compensate with discipline at the back, conceding just one goal per game on average. They’re a team that plays with patience, relying on structured build-up rather than chaos. And yet, the stats say their games still produce plenty of corner activity: 75% of their matches go over 8.5 corners. It’s a quiet kind of aggression, the kind that builds slowly before exploding late in matches.

There’s something fascinating about this derby. Athletic haven’t won at Reale Arena since March 2017, but Real Sociedad’s inconsistent form makes any prediction feel like a coin flip. Can Oyarzabal’s leadership and precision make the difference? Or will Nico Williams find the gap that changes everything? That’s the thrill of the Basque Derby, you never really know until the whistle blows.

Still, when you look at the flow of both sides, one pattern emerges: corners. Sociedad average 11.6 per match, Bilbao 11. Both press high, both force defensive reactions, and both struggle to convert possession into clean finishes. That’s why the line of Over 8.5 corners feels not just logical, but almost inevitable. For more deep insights and live updates, check out the LaLiga Stats page to track how these numbers evolve throughout the season.