Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 11 of La Liga, scheduled for Saturday, November 1, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. The match takes place at the Santiago Bernabéu and will be broadcast live on Disney+ and Premier Sports. Real Madrid come into this one leading the table by five points, while Valencia are stuck near the bottom. In this preview, you’ll discover fresh insights powered by Soccer Stats from XpertStats experts.

• Real Madrid are unbeaten at home this season with a perfect winning record.
• Valencia have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches.
• Mbappé and Bellingham have been decisive in Madrid’s recent wins.
• Valencia remain winless away from home, struggling to find the net.

Real Madrid are flying high under Xabi Alonso. After beating Barcelona 2–1 last weekend, the mood in Madrid is electric. The numbers back it up too: an average of 2 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per match shows how well-balanced this team is. Their 80% record of over 1.5 goals per game says everything about their attacking intent. Still, can they maintain that hunger against a side desperate for points? It’s hard to bet against them at the Bernabéu, where they’ve won every home game this season.

There’s also a sense of revenge in the air. Valencia managed a surprise 2–1 win here last season, something Real Madrid haven’t forgotten. Mbappé, Bellingham, and Vinícius Jr. look set to start together again, and that trio’s chemistry is terrifying for any defense. Even with injuries to Carvajal, Rüdiger, and possibly Alaba, Los Blancos have enough depth to dominate possession and create chances. Their average of 6.4 corners per game underlines just how much pressure they put on opponents.

Valencia, meanwhile, come into this match in survival mode. Two wins from ten games, nine points total, and a worrying 2.2 goals conceded per game, it’s been a rough season. Their 5–0 Copa del Rey win midweek lifted spirits, but in La Liga, they’ve looked fragile. Carlos Corberán’s men have gone five league games without a win and failed to score in their last two. Their attack, averaging just 0.6 goals per match, hasn’t found rhythm. And traveling to face Madrid, that’s a problem.

Even so, football’s unpredictable. Can Valencia spring a surprise? Possibly, but everything points to another strong showing from Real Madrid. The contrast in form, mentality, and quality is clear. Madrid’s pace in transition, Valencia’s shaky defense, and the home advantage all align toward a comfortable home win. For bettors looking for data-driven confidence, the Soccer Stats suggest Madrid are well placed to cover the handicap.