Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction LaLiga 26.10.2025
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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 10 of LaLiga, scheduled for October 26, 2025, at 15:15 GMT. The showdown takes place at Santiago Bernabeu, broadcast live on Amazon Prime and Premier Sports 1. The stakes? Top spot in Spain. Madrid lead by two points, while Barcelona aim to make history with a fifth straight Clásico win. In this article, you’ll find insightful LaLiga Predictions from XpertStats experts.
- Real Madrid lead La Liga by two points ahead of Barcelona heading into Sunday’s El Clasico.
- Both sides boast explosive attacking stats: over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of Madrid’s and 80% of Barça’s games.
- Kylian Mbappé has 11 goals in eight games against Barcelona, but he’s yet to win a Clásico.
- Barcelona are chasing a fifth straight win over Madrid, a feat last achieved under Pep Guardiola.
Real Madrid have been almost flawless this season: 11 wins in 12 games across all competitions. That said, their single blemish against Atlético Madrid lingers. Xabi Alonso’s side may not always dazzle, but they grind out results with frightening consistency. With an average of two goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game, they’ve become masters of efficiency. Still, Barcelona’s free-flowing attack poses a different kind of threat. Can Alonso’s tactical discipline withstand that pressure?
For Madrid, the story centers around their offensive trio: Mbappé, Vinícius, and Mastantuono, each capable of ripping defenses apart in seconds. Mbappé’s record against Barcelona (11 goals in eight games) says it all, though he’s never won a Clásico. That’s the ghost he’ll want to exorcise this Sunday. Meanwhile, Jude Bellingham’s return to form after surgery adds another weapon in midfield. Yet the absence of key defenders like Rüdiger and Alaba could leave cracks that Barça will happily exploit.
Barcelona, for their part, come in riding a high after smashing Olympiacos 6-1 midweek. Hansi Flick’s men have scored 24 goals in La Liga already, more than anyone else. But they’ve also conceded 1.6 per match, a sign of defensive instability. Their over 2.5 goals rate sits at a massive 80%, which tells you everything about their approach: full throttle. Rashford, López, and Yamal lead the charge, but missing veterans like Lewandowski and Raphinha could test their resilience in hostile Madrid territory.
Even so, Barcelona’s confidence in this fixture can’t be ignored. Four wins from their last four against Los Blancos, including last season’s 4-0 at Bernabeu, have flipped the psychological script. Still, El Clásico has a way of humbling even the boldest sides. With both teams averaging over two goals per game, and defences that occasionally wobble, expect an open, breathless match that might just swing on a single moment. That’s why our experts lean toward high-scoring outcomes in these LaLiga Predictions.
Kylian Mbappé’s explosive pace and instinct for risk once again take center stage ahead of El Clásico. According to marca.com, Barcelona under Hansi Flick hold the highest defensive line in La Liga, averaging 39.9 meters from goal, a daring setup that feeds directly into Mbappé’s game. The French striker has learned to exploit that razor-thin margin between the offside trap and glory, turning a potential weakness into his most dangerous weapon.
When you put Madrid and Barcelona on the same pitch, goals follow. Madrid’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 50% of cases, while Barcelona’s explode past that line 80% of the time. Flick’s side average nearly four total goals per game, the highest in La Liga. Their attacking style leaves them open, but it’s also thrilling to watch. Real Madrid, led by Mbappé, average two goals themselves and rarely go goalless at home. Add in defensive absences (Rüdiger, Alaba, Koundé) and you’ve got a recipe for fireworks. El Clásico history backs it up: 4-3, 4-0, 3-2... recent scorelines show no shortage of attacking spectacle. Neither side will play it safe, especially with first place at stake. Expect tempo, drama, and a scoreline that breaks the 2.5 mark comfortably.
Looking at the numbers, this match screams goals from both teams. Real Madrid have seen both teams score in 50% of their league games, and Barcelona in 80%. That’s a massive indicator. With Mbappé in frightening form and Vinícius creating more touches in the opposition box than anyone in La Liga, Real’s attack is firing. But their defence, without Rüdiger and Alaba, is vulnerable. Barcelona, meanwhile, have scored in every league match so far, averaging 2.2 goals. Even when they’ve lost, they’ve found the net. Hansi Flick’s attacking philosophy ensures his side always commits forward, leaving gaps behind, perfect for Madrid’s counterattacks. In recent Clásicos, both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings. With so much attacking talent and shaky defences on both sides, expecting clean sheets feels unrealistic. This should be another high-octane Clásico where both nets ripple.
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