Qarabag vs Chelsea Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 4 of the UEFA Champions League, set for Wednesday, November 5, 2025, at 17:45 GMT. The game unfolds at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime, BBC Radio 5, and Discovery+. The West London side arrive looking to build on their strong European run, while the Azerbaijani champions hope to create another upset. For detailed insights, explore Champions League Predictions from XpertStats.

• Qarabag host Chelsea on Wednesday, November 5, 2025, in the Champions League league phase.
• The Blues aim for a third straight European win after victories over Benfica and Ajax.
• Qarabag have impressed early, defeating Benfica and Copenhagen but fell to Athletic Club last time.
• Key absences include Palmer and Mudryk for Chelsea, and Sheydayev for Qarabag.

Qarabag FK have been one of the competition’s surprise packages so far. Under the guidance of long-serving boss Gurban Gurbanov, the Horsemen opened their campaign with stunning victories against Benfica and Copenhagen, proving they can punch above their weight. Still, their defensive frailties were exposed in a 3-1 defeat to Athletic Club, and that result brought them back down to earth. Can they find that same spark again against a Premier League powerhouse? It won’t be easy, their seven straight defeats against English clubs tell a harsh story. But football loves an underdog tale, and Baku might just believe in one.

Leandro Andrade, their top scorer this season, has been the creative spark, while Abdellah Zoubir adds flair from the left flank. Their home form has been solid, but Chelsea’s arrival marks a different kind of test. Qarabag’s energy and quick transitions could trouble the visitors early on, yet sustaining that intensity across ninety minutes is another matter. If they can score first, the crowd will erupt. But if Chelsea settle quickly, Gurbanov’s men may find themselves chasing shadows again.

For Chelsea, the mission is simple: keep the winning rhythm going. After a tough start in Munich, Enzo Maresca’s team have turned the tide with strong home performances, including a commanding 5-1 win over Ajax. Confidence is growing, though fatigue and injuries are still lingering. Cole Palmer and Mykhaylo Mudryk remain unavailable, while Joao Pedro’s return from suspension adds some needed creativity. The Blues’ recent league win over Tottenham hinted at a team finding balance, even if it’s not always pretty. “We’re still a work in progress,” Maresca admitted last weekend, “but we’re learning to win ugly.” That’s often how champions are built.

So what should we expect on Wednesday night? Probably not a goal fest. Qarabag will dig deep, Chelsea will manage the tempo, and moments of brilliance could decide the outcome. A disciplined display might be enough for the Blues to edge through, though underestimating this spirited Azerbaijani side would be foolish. It’s hard to say how this will end, but one thing’s certain: both teams will leave everything on that pitch. For more expert insights, stay tuned to Champions League Predictions from XpertStats.