Qarabag vs Ajax Prediction Champions League 10.12.2025
Qarabag vs Ajax Prediction Champions League
Qarabag vs Ajax Prediction and Betting Tips for the UEFA Champions League league phase, scheduled for Wednesday, December 10, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. The clash at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku will be broadcast live on TNT Sports and Discovery+. Qarabag are aiming to extend their unbeaten home streak, while Ajax desperately seek to end their European drought. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Champions League Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Qarabag are unbeaten in 10 straight home games across all competitions.
- Ajax have lost all five Champions League matches this season.
- Leandro Andrade has scored three of Qarabag’s eight goals in Europe.
- Ajax have conceded at least two goals in every European match this term.
Gurban Gurbanov’s side have quietly built a fortress in Baku. Their home record? Rock solid. Ten games without defeat across all competitions, and they’ve already claimed scalps like Copenhagen and a 2-2 draw with Chelsea. That’s no small feat. Qarabag enter this one sitting mid-table in the new 36-team format, still dreaming of a place in the knockout rounds. Can they actually pull it off? It wouldn’t be the first time they’ve surprised the continent.
Leandro Andrade remains the key man, with three goals so far in Europe. His pace and eye for goal make him the spark Qarabag often rely on. Even without Kady Borges, the team’s balance looks intact. Gurbanov’s men have taken four of their seven group-stage points at home, and the players clearly feed off that Baku energy. The noise, the pressure, the passion—it’s all part of the magic that keeps them believing.
On the other side, Ajax’s campaign has been nothing short of chaotic. Multiple coaching changes, defensive lapses, and an injury list longer than their goal tally. The Dutch giants are rooted to the bottom of the standings, still searching for their first Champions League point of the season. They’ve conceded sixteen times in five games—no other team has leaked more. Even their recent league wins have looked shaky, relying on opposition errors and own goals to scrape by. That’s not the Ajax we’re used to.
It’s hard to imagine Ajax suddenly turning things around in Baku. The trip east won’t help either, and Fred Grim’s side have looked drained both mentally and physically. Qarabag, meanwhile, are thriving in their rhythm, with confidence and chemistry that Ajax simply lack right now. That’s why many punters see value in backing the home side here. For more analysis like this, check our full range of Champions League Predictions on XpertStats.
Ajax confirm that striker Wout Weghorst will be sidelined until at least the winter break after sustaining significant ligament damage to his right ankle against Fortuna Sittard. The injury, suffered during a heavy challenge, leaves Ajax without his physical presence and goal threat for key matches, increasing reliance on Kasper Dolberg in attack. Source: VoetbalPrimeur
Qarabag’s home form is simply too strong to ignore. Ten matches unbeaten at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, including results against top European sides like Chelsea and Copenhagen, speak volumes. They’ve scored twice in each of their last four home outings, a consistency that Ajax can only envy. The visitors, on the other hand, have been in free fall—five defeats from five in the Champions League, conceding at least two goals in every game. Ajax’s backline looks shaky, and injuries to Wout Weghorst, Berghuis, and Sutalo further weaken them. Qarabag’s energetic press and confident attacking shape often overwhelm visiting teams in Baku, where the atmosphere adds an extra edge. Gurban Gurbanov’s men have also shown tactical discipline, adapting well against stronger opponents. Considering Ajax’s poor away record and fragile confidence, backing Qarabag to win feels like the logical, value-driven call here.
FAQ – Qarabag vs Ajax Prediction
Who will win between Qarabag and Ajax?
Qarabag are slight favourites thanks to their strong home form and Ajax’s defensive struggles in Europe. Still, anything can happen under the lights in Baku.
Where can I watch Qarabag vs Ajax live?
The Qarabag vs Ajax Champions League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports and Discovery+.
What time does Qarabag vs Ajax start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, at the Tofiq Bahramov Stadium in Baku.
What’s the recent form of both teams?
Qarabag are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches, while Ajax have lost all five of their Champions League games this season.
Author
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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