PSV vs Ajax Prediction 21.09.2025
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PSV vs Ajax Prediction
PSV vs Ajax Prediction and Betting Tips for gameweek six of the Eredivisie, set for Sunday at Philips Stadion. The defending champions host their fiercest rivals after a rollercoaster start to the season. PSV have scored freely, racking up 17 goals in the league, but their defense has shown cracks, conceding eight. In this article, you’ll discover Eredivisie Predictions from XpertStats tipsters to help make sense of this high-stakes clash.
- PSV and Ajax meet for the first time since Eindhoven clinched last season’s title in a dramatic comeback.
- PSV leads Ajax by a single point in the Eredivisie standings.
- Both teams have high-scoring tendencies, with PSV averaging 5 goals per match and Ajax 3.
- Injuries will play a key role, with PSV missing Pléa, Mauro Junior, and Boadu, while Ajax has fitness doubts over Berghuis, Bouwman, and Van den Boomen.
PSV have struggled a bit recently, losing 3-1 at home to Union Saint-Gilloise in the Champions League after a 2-0 defeat to Telstar in the Eredivisie. That said, their home form in the league is usually solid, and they’ll be eager to bounce back in front of their fans. Key players like Ruben van Bommel, Joey Veerman, and Ivan Perisic will carry the creative and goal-scoring burden. Can they really turn things around after consecutive losses? History suggests yes, PSV rarely falter twice in a row at home against big rivals.
Ajax, meanwhile, arrive with a mixed bag of form. They are unbeaten in the Eredivisie away games this season, though draws at Go Ahead Eagles and FC Volendam highlight some struggles. Their Champions League outing against Inter Milan ended in a 2-0 defeat, leaving questions over confidence and finishing sharpness. Wout Weghorst leads the scoring charts, while Steven Berghuis, Aaron Bouwman, and Branco van den Boomen are injury doubts. Still, Ajax’s attacking depth ensures they remain a constant threat on the break.
Head-to-head, this fixture, known as De Topper is always dramatic. PSV have suffered two losses in their last three matches across competitions, whereas Ajax have failed to win away in their last four Eredivisie games. Last season’s meetings saw PSV secure the title despite losing head-to-head encounters, showing that momentum can shift quickly. Fans can expect an open, attacking game: PSV average 5 goals per match, Ajax 3, and both teams have high BTTS stats, suggesting goals are very likely.
Given the goal-scoring form and defensive frailties, this clash could see plenty of action. PSV will aim to regain their home dominance, while Ajax looks to snap their away winless streak. Expect a high-tempo, attacking spectacle. With injuries on both sides, rotations may come into play, adding further unpredictability. For this reason, we’ve focused on high-value, goal-related markets in our Eredivisie Predictions.
PSV head coach Peter Bosz has highlighted a more attack-minded Ajax this season, noting their emphasis on forward play and higher pressing. Despite recent setbacks against Telstar and Union Saint-Gilloise, PSV’s squad remains largely fit, with Ricardo Pepi recovering well from a long-term knee injury. Bosz believes the team is far from crisis, pointing to four wins in five Eredivisie matches so far. Source: Telegraaf.
Both PSV and Ajax have demonstrated consistent attacking firepower this season. PSV average over three goals per match, scoring in all fixtures so far, and Ajax has found the net in every away match despite failing to win. Even with injuries impacting key players like Pléa, Boadu, and Mauro Junior for PSV, their remaining squad, led by Van Bommel and Perisic, maintains high goal potential. Ajax’s Weghorst and Klaassen can exploit PSV’s defensive lapses, especially given the 1.67 goals PSV concede per game. Historically, De Topper encounters are goal-rich, and with both teams’ offensive style, a clean sheet for either side is unlikely. Fans can anticipate goals at both ends as each side seeks dominance and confidence after recent setbacks. This match favors open play, making BTTS a high-probability bet.
PSV vs Ajax is shaping up as a high-scoring affair. PSV average five goals per match, scoring freely while conceding 1.67 on average. Ajax may have struggled away, but their games still feature multiple goals, averaging three per fixture. Historical De Topper clashes tend to be open and attacking, with both sides willing to gamble defensively. Injuries on both sides might alter positioning but are unlikely to reduce attacking intent. With key attackers like Weghorst, Klaassen, Van Bommel, and Perisic ready to exploit defensive gaps, the odds of seeing more than 2.5 goals are high. Even PSV’s recent consecutive home losses haven’t dulled their scoring edge, making Over 2.5 a compelling option for bettors expecting an open and entertaining clash.
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