Serie A Predictions Football Predictions

Parma vs Lazio Prediction Serie A 13.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 13 December 2025

Parma vs Lazio Prediction Serie A

Parma vs Lazio Prediction and Betting Tips for Serie A, scheduled for Saturday, December 13, 2025, at 17:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on DAZN and Sky Go Italia from the Stadio Ennio Tardini. Parma sit 15th with 14 points, while Lazio arrive five points clear in 10th. In this article, you’ll find Serie A Predictions from the XpertStats team, shaped by form, numbers, and a bit of gut feeling too.

Parma arrive with renewed confidence after back-to-back league wins
Lazio boast one of the league’s best defensive records but struggle away
Recent meetings between these sides have been low-scoring and tense
Both teams dealing with key absences ahead of Saturday’s clash

Parma’s season has been a grind, no doubt about it. They average just 0.86 goals scored per match, which tells its own story, but recent results hint at a team finally finding some balance. Two wins from the last three league games have lifted the mood, even if the Coppa Italia exit still stings. Defensively, they concede 1.43 goals per game, so clean sheets are rare. Still, with 71 percent of their matches going over 1.5 goals and BTTS landing 57 percent of the time, Parma games rarely feel dead. At home, though, confidence has wobbled. Can they really turn that around against a disciplined Lazio side?

Lazio to Win @2.12
Lazio to win looks like a value call when you strip emotion away and focus on tendencies. Parma concede 1.43 goals per match, significantly more than Lazio, and they rely heavily on grinding results rather than sustained pressure. Lazio, meanwhile, are disciplined almost to a fault. Only 14 percent of their matches go over 2.5 goals, and none over 3.5, which tells you how well they manage leads. Even if their attack averages just 0.43 goals scored, they don’t need many chances when the defense is this reliable. Parma’s BTTS rate of 57 percent drops sharply against sides that sit deep and counter. Lazio also commit fewer defensive errors, reflected in their low goals conceded and controlled foul numbers. In a game likely decided by small margins, experience and structure matter. Lazio have both, and that could be enough to take all three points.