Serie A Predictions Football Predictions Football Predictions Today

Parma vs AC Milan Prediction Serie A 08.11.2025

Alexandru Florin 7 November 2025

Parma vs AC Milan Prediction Serie A

Parma vs AC Milan Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 11 of Serie A, scheduled for November 8, 2025, at 19:45 GMT. The match will be played at the Stadio Ennio Tardini and broadcast live on Amazon Prime and DAZN. AC Milan arrive chasing the top of the table, while Parma, sitting near the drop zone, desperately need points. For deeper numbers and tactical insights, check out Soccer Stats on XpertStats.

AC Milan can temporarily reach the top of Serie A with a win at the Tardini.
Parma have scored only 0.8 goals per match this season, the lowest in Serie A.
AC Milan concede an average of just 0.25 goals per game, the best defensive record so far.
Both sides average fewer than nine corners per game, hinting at a tight tactical duel.

Parma’s form has dipped at the worst possible time. After early signs of promise, two straight defeats against Bologna and Roma left them hovering above relegation. Scoring remains their Achilles heel: just five goals in ten matches, an average of 0.8 per game. That’s grim reading. Carlos Cuesta’s men show spirit, they’ve managed to find the net in 60% of matches, but that’s often not enough when you concede 1.2 goals per outing. And those attacking injuries? Brutal. Ordonez suspended, Almqvist, Ondrejka, and Circati all sidelined. It’s a long list for a short squad.

Even so, Parma’s fight can’t be dismissed. At home, they’re stubborn, rarely losing by big margins. Their games average just two goals total, and while they struggle in front of goal, they’re rarely blown away. That said, their 20% rate for matches going over 3.5 goals suggests we shouldn’t expect fireworks here. The Tardini faithful will hope Patrick Cutrone, facing his former club, can summon something special. He’ll need to, Milan’s defense is in iron form.

AC Milan, meanwhile, travel north full of confidence. Allegri’s team are unbeaten in ten matches across all competitions. A win here could put them top, even if only for a night. Milan score 1.5 goals on average and concede just 0.25, with Leao and Pulisic both expected to start. Maignan’s penalty save against Dybala last week underlined the team’s steel. Allegri’s caution about Scudetto talk sounds pragmatic, but everyone can see it: this side is balanced, ruthless, and hungry.

In tactical terms, this looks like a slow burner. Milan’s games rarely explode into chaos,only 25% see over 2.5 goals and Parma’s low corner count (7 per match) mirrors that. Combining both, a low-corner, low-scoring affair feels likely. That’s why smart bettors might be eyeing options like under 10.5 corners. For those tracking data-driven value, Soccer Stats are worth a glance before kickoff. Can Parma frustrate Milan again? Maybe. But it’ll take something special.

AC Milan are set to face Parma with a lineup similar to the one used against Roma. Coach Massimiliano Allegri is expected to confirm Leão and Nkunku as starters in attack, aiming for pace and creativity up front. In defense, De Winter appears favored over Tomori, while Samuele Ricci should retain his midfield spot ahead of Loftus-Cheek. On the left flank, Allegri’s choice between Bartesaghi and Estupiñán may depend on upcoming derby plans. Source: gazzetta.it.

Under 10.5 Corners @1.51
This fixture promises tactical discipline more than attacking chaos. Parma average just 7 total corners per game, while AC Milan sit slightly higher at 8.25. Both figures fall comfortably under the 10.5 threshold. Milan’s possession-heavy style reduces end-to-end play, and Parma’s low offensive output (0.8 goals per match) translates to fewer attacking situations and, therefore, fewer corners. With Parma conceding 4.4 corners on average and Milan 5, the math aligns neatly with the “Under 10.5” angle. Moreover, Parma’s games have hit over 10.5 corners only 20% of the time this season. Expect a methodical rhythm, Milan controlling space rather than bombarding crosses, and Parma struggling to build momentum. It’s the kind of match where chances come few and far between, ideal conditions for the under to land comfortably.