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Oviedo vs Mallorca Prediction LaLiga 05.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 4 December 2025

Oviedo vs Mallorca Prediction LaLiga 05.12.2025

Oviedo vs Mallorca Prediction and Betting Tips for the LaLiga fixture scheduled for Friday, December 05, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Premier Sports Player and LaLiga TV from the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere in Oviedo. Both teams are hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone, and this one feels like more than just another league game. In this piece, you’ll also find our latest LaLiga Predictions and expert betting insights from XpertStats.

Oviedo sit bottom of the LaLiga table with just 9 points after 14 matches.
Mallorca have lost six of their seven away games this season.
Vedat Muriqi has netted 8 goals in 13 league appearances for Mallorca.
Oviedo have the lowest scoring record in LaLiga, with only seven goals so far.

Real Oviedo come into this match still searching for a spark. The Blues have scored just seven times in 14 games — the worst attacking record in the league. That’s a tough pill to swallow for Luis Carrion, whose side also concedes 1.43 goals per match on average. Despite that, their last two home fixtures ended in draws, showing small signs of life. Can they turn the tide this time? It’s hard to say, but something’s got to give on Friday night.

Statistically, Oviedo’s games tend to be low-scoring, averaging 1.71 goals per match, with only 29% going over 2.5 goals. Still, their corner numbers paint a slightly different story: over 8.5 corners hit in 71% of their matches. That suggests a team trying to build pressure, even if the final touch keeps missing. Santi Cazorla remains their creative spark, while veteran Salomon Rondon is expected to lead the line again.

Mallorca, on the other hand, have been unpredictable but more entertaining. Their matches average 3.14 goals, and 86% have gone over 1.5 goals this season. The issue? Their defense leaks: two goals conceded per game. Still, Vedat Muriqi’s scoring form (8 in 13) gives them a real edge. The Pirates also thrive in chaotic games, with 71% of their fixtures seeing both teams score. That bold, attacking mindset could be key against a hesitant Oviedo defense.

Even so, Mallorca’s away record is dreadful, losing six of seven on the road. But they’re facing an Oviedo side with the second-worst home record, so it’s not exactly a fortress either. It feels like one of those matches that could tilt on a single moment of composure, maybe a flash from Muriqi or a late set piece. Our tipsters lean towards the visitors avoiding defeat. For more expert insights, check out our full range of LaLiga Predictions across the weekend.

Javier Arrasate highlighted the importance of Mallorca’s upcoming clash with Oviedo, stressing that intensity and focus will be crucial against a direct rival. Following a confidence-boosting Copa del Rey win, he believes victory could provide a significant leap in the standings, while a defeat would “put them in trouble.” The coach also noted positive signs from Kumbulla and Asano as the squad manages a demanding three-match week. Source: Marca

X2 @1.50
Mallorca to win or draw (X2) makes solid sense when you dive into the numbers. Oviedo have the league’s weakest offense with a meagre 0.29 goals scored per game, and their overall form has been dreadful, losing nine of 14. Meanwhile, Mallorca’s matches are far more dynamic, averaging 3.14 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 71% of their fixtures. That attacking openness gives them a consistent edge in creating chances. True, Mallorca have struggled away from home, but Oviedo’s confidence at Carlos Tartiere is almost nonexistent, they’ve managed just two home draws recently. With Muriqi in form and Mallorca showing fight in a recent 2-2 draw with Osasuna, it’s hard to see them losing here. The X2 feels the safest route, combining Mallorca’s offensive edge with Oviedo’s lack of cutting power.