Nottingham vs Chelsea Prediction Premier League 18.10.2025
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Nottingham vs Chelsea Prediction Premier League
Nottingham vs Chelsea Prediction and Betting Tips ahead of Saturday’s lunchtime clash at the City Ground. Forest’s battle for survival takes center stage as Ange Postecoglou searches desperately for his first win in charge. Chelsea, meanwhile, travel north chasing a fourth victory in five games across all competitions. For more analysis and expert forecasts, check out Premier League Predictions from XpertStats.
- Nottingham Forest are winless in seven under Ange Postecoglou and sit just above the drop zone.
- Chelsea have scored an average of 2.67 goals per game this season, the league’s joint-best attack.
- Forest’s home form has dipped sharply, with five defeats in their last seven at the City Ground.
- Every Chelsea Premier League match this season has produced over 2.5 total goals.
Nottingham Forest’s recent form has been grim, and the mood around the City Ground feels heavy. Three straight defeats in all competitions have left fans restless, with whispers already circulating about Sean Dyche being lined up as a possible replacement for Postecoglou. Forest have scored just once in their last three home games and are averaging only 1 goal per match while conceding 1.67, hardly the resilience needed to stay afloat. Can the Australian coach really turn things around, or is it already too late? It’s hard to say, but Saturday feels pivotal.
There were glimpses of fight in their 2-0 defeat to Newcastle, but their lack of cutting edge is alarming. Forest’s matches still deliver action, averaging 12.33 corners per game, but the goals simply aren’t coming. Their Over 2.5 goals rate of 67% suggests openness at both ends, yet just 33% of their games have seen both teams score. That imbalance tells the story: Forest defend too deep, attack too thin. Even with Callum Hudson-Odoi back against his old club, confidence looks drained.
On the other side, Chelsea have finally found rhythm under Enzo Maresca. The 2-1 win over Liverpool before the break felt like a statement. Moises Caicedo’s rocket and Estevao’s late strike reminded everyone why the Blues remain such a dangerous unit. Their average of 2.67 goals scored per match, combined with 100% Over 2.5 goal involvement, proves this is a team built for chaos — and goals. Sure, their away record raises eyebrows (just three wins in 14 league trips), but the momentum feels real now.
Defensively, Chelsea still wobble at times, conceding 1.67 goals per game, but their attack compensates in style. Chalobah’s return from suspension adds some steel, while Caicedo’s numbers, 28 tackles, 18 interceptions, highlight the intensity driving this new Maresca side. If they maintain that aggression, Forest could struggle to cope. Given both sides’ stats, another high-scoring affair seems likely. Still, the Blues’ superior quality and confidence make them favorites to edge it again in what should be an entertaining fixture. That’s why our experts lean toward Premier League Predictions backing a Chelsea win.
Chelsea enter Saturday’s clash at the City Ground as clear favourites, with the Opta supercomputer giving them a 48.1% win probability compared to Nottingham Forest’s 27.8%. Ange Postecoglou’s side are still winless in seven and face mounting pressure, while Chelsea’s fixtures have produced more goals than any other Premier League team this season. Forest’s home form remains fragile, losing five of their last seven. Source: theanalyst.com.
Chelsea’s attacking stats are simply on another level right now. Averaging 2.67 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 goals record, the Blues are consistently finding ways through defenses. Nottingham, in contrast, have scored just once in their last three home matches and are conceding 1.67 goals per game. That imbalance is stark. Even if Chelsea’s away record isn’t perfect, they’ve still shown control and quality in key moments, especially through Caicedo and Estevao. Forest’s defense has been leaky under pressure, and their manager Ange Postecoglou hasn’t won any of his seven games in charge. That’s a huge psychological weight heading into this fixture. Chelsea also dominate possession and create more chances from set pieces, four of their away goals this season have come from corners. With better finishing, form, and momentum, the visitors should have enough to seal all three points here.
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