Netherlands vs Finland Prediction World Cup Qualifiers 12.10.2025
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Netherlands vs Finland Prediction World Cup Qualifiers
Netherlands vs Finland Prediction and Betting Tips for Sunday’s World Cup 2026 qualifier at the Johan Cruijff ArenA. The Oranje are three points clear at the top of Group G and can edge closer to the finals with another victory. In this article, you’ll discover World Cup Predictions and insights from XpertStats tipsters.
- Netherlands lead Group G by three points ahead of Finland and Poland.
- Ronald Koeman’s side have won their last three meetings against Finland.
- Finland haven’t beaten the Dutch since 1950, losing 10 of the last 12 clashes.
- Cody Gakpo scored twice in the midweek win over Malta and looks in lethal form.
The Netherlands have steadied their campaign after a jittery September, where they almost stumbled in Kaunas. Thursday’s 4-0 away win in Malta wasn’t electric, but it was efficient. Cody Gakpo’s cool penalties and Tijjani Reijnders’ sharp finish reminded everyone of the attacking depth Ronald Koeman has at his disposal. Still, despite their dominance, the Dutch haven’t looked invincible. That 1-1 draw with Poland at home left a bitter aftertaste, and fans are still waiting for that full-throttle performance. Can they finally deliver it in Amsterdam?
Koeman’s selection dilemmas continue. Memphis Depay could return to lead the line after recovering from a fitness setback, while Jeremie Frimpong and Gakpo look set to flank him. The coach’s decision to rest several big names like De Ligt and Koopmeiners has sparked debate, that’s a bold move, but maybe the right one with qualification within reach. The Oranje don’t need to blow Finland away; they just need to keep control. That said, this is football one lapse, and all that composure can unravel fast.
Finland arrive with more hope than expectation. Jacob Friis’ men have battled through a tricky group, and even though the odds are long, they’re not here to play tourist. Their narrow 2-1 win over Lithuania gave them a lifeline, but without captain Lukas Hradecky and suspended defender Robert Ivanov, the backline looks fragile. Benjamin Källman and Joel Pohjanpalo remain key threats up front, but breaking through a defense led by Virgil van Dijk? That’s another story entirely. Still, the Eagle-owls have shown grit before, can they dig deep again?
History says no. The Finns haven’t beaten the Dutch since 1950, and the last three meetings ended with tight wins for the Oranje, none by more than two goals. There’s a gulf in class, sure, but also a quiet caution from Koeman’s men, who seem content to win without overexerting. Expect a professional Dutch victory, powered by Gakpo’s energy and precision, but don’t be surprised if Finland hang on longer than expected. It’s the kind of match that tests focus more than flair and that might suit the Oranje just fine. For more expert takes, check out our latest World Cup Predictions.
Cody Gakpo is fast becoming the heartbeat of this Dutch attack. Fresh from scoring twice against Malta, he’s showing confidence and sharpness in front of goal. The Liverpool winger has now been involved in eight goals during qualifying and continues to be Koeman’s most consistent performer in the final third. Finland’s defense will be patched up without Ivanov and captain Hradecky, creating space Gakpo loves to exploit. His movement between lines and timing in the box make him a nightmare for defenders who switch off even for a second. In Amsterdam, with Depay likely to draw markers centrally, Gakpo should find room cutting inside from the left. The Finns have conceded in every away qualifier so far, and against a player in this kind of rhythm, it’s hard to imagine a clean sheet. Gakpo scoring feels less like a gamble and more like the natural outcome of his current form.
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