Neom vs Al Najma Prediction Saudi Professional League 25.12.2025
Neom vs Al Najma Prediction Saudi Professional League
Neom vs Al Najma Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday of the Saudi Professional League, scheduled for Thursday, December 25, 2025, at 17:30 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Thmanyah (Sau) and JACO Middle East. The clash takes place at the King Khalid Sports City in Tabuk, with the home side looking to cement their place in the top half of the table against a side struggling at the very bottom. In this article, you’ll discover Football Stats And Tips from XpertStats tipsters.
- Neom averages 1 goal scored per home match while conceding 1.75 on average.
- Al Najma has struggled defensively on the road, conceding 2.4 goals per away game.
- Both teams show a high BTTS rate, with Neom at 75% and Al Najma at 80% in their respective settings.
- The Over 1.5 goals market has hit in 75% of Neom’s home games and 80% of Al Najma’s away trips.
- Discipline is a factor, as Neom home matches average 5.75 cards per game.
- Corner markets look busy, with Al Najma away games averaging a massive 12.4 corners.
Neom comes into this festive fixture with a sense of stability, though their home form has been a bit of a rollercoaster. They score exactly one goal per game on average in front of their fans, but staying tight at the back has been a challenge, evidenced by the 1.75 goals they concede per home match. Still, having a talent like Said Benrahma available is a massive boost. They play with a high intensity that often leads to cards, averaging 3.5 bookings themselves. Can they find the clinical edge to put away a struggling opponent? It is hard to say how this will end if they don’t fix that leaky defense, but their 75% BTTS rate suggests we should expect action at both ends.
On the other side of the pitch, Al Najma is enduring a truly difficult campaign. Their away stats are particularly worrying, especially the defensive record where they ship an average of 2.4 goals per game. That said, they aren’t completely toothless, managing to find the net 0.8 times per away trip. Their matches are usually chaotic and full of set-piece opportunities, evidenced by the staggering 12.4 average corners in their away fixtures. With an 80% rate for both Over 1.5 goals and BTTS in their travels, they clearly play an open style that invites pressure. Even so, they have shown a bit of grit lately, picking up a rare point in their last outing.
Looking at the trends, this match screams productivity in the final third. Neom will likely dominate the ball, but Al Najma’s tendency to concede heavily on the road makes them vulnerable. With a combined average of 2.98 goals per match between these two, the statistics point toward a busy scoreboard. That’s a bold move for Al Najma to play so openly, but maybe the right one if they want to escape the drop. We expect a lively encounter where Football Stats And Tips suggest the defensive frailties of the visitors will be the deciding factor. It should be an entertaining watch for those tuning in on Christmas Day.
Neom entering this match as favorites is backed by the stark contrast in overall performance this season. While Neom has adapted well to the top flight, Al Najma is rooted to the bottom of the table without a single win. Statistically, Al Najma's away defense is a major liability, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game. Neom has already beaten Al Najma twice recently, including a 2-0 victory, showing they have the tactical blueprint to break them down. With Benrahma providing creative spark and Al Najma missing their captain Jawad El Yamiq due to AFCON duties, the visitors' backline looks even more exposed. Neom's ability to score at home, combined with Al Najma’s winless streak, makes a home win the most logical outcome. The psychological advantage of playing at King Khalid Sports City should be enough to see Neom secure all three points in this Christmas clash.
Betting on Over 1.5 goals is strongly supported by the "Both Teams to Score" (BTTS) trends. Neom has a 75% BTTS rate at home, and Al Najma sits at 80% on the road. When both teams are frequently scoring and conceding, the 1.5 goal threshold is usually surpassed very early in the match. Neom’s total goals per match average is 2.75, while Al Najma’s away matches average 3.2 goals. These numbers are well above the required two goals for this tip to land. Al Najma’s tendency to concede 2.4 goals away from home suggests that Neom’s attackers will find plenty of space. Even with some key injuries, the tactical setup of both sides is geared toward attacking transitions rather than defensive solidity. Given the festive nature of the match and the historical goal data, seeing at least two goals in Tabuk is a very high probability event.
FAQ – Neom vs Al Najma Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Neom and Al Najma?
Neom is the favorite due to their superior league position and Al Najma's poor defensive record on the road, though Neom's own defense has been shaky.
Where can I watch Neom vs Al Najma live?
The Neom vs Al Najma Saudi Pro League match will be broadcast live on Thmanyah (Sau) and JACO Middle East.
What time does Neom vs Al Najma start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 (GMT) on Thursday, December 25, 2025.
Which players should I watch out for?
Said Benrahma is the key man for Neom, while Al Najma will be relying on their collective spirit to overcome the absence of captain Jawad El Yamiq.
Author
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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