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Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1 25.10.2025

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Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1 25.10.2025

Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1

Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction and Betting Tips for this weekend’s Ligue 1 showdown at Stade Louis II. The Principality side, desperate to end a five-game winless streak, welcome a confident Toulouse team fresh from a dominant 4-0 victory. Expect a high-energy affair full of pace, pressure, and chances, the kind of matchup that defines Ligue 1 Stats drama every week.

  • Monaco have averaged 5 total goals per match this season, with both teams scoring in all fixtures.
  • Toulouse are unbeaten in their last three Ligue 1 matches, including a 4-0 win over Metz.
  • Both sides rank high for corners: Monaco average 10.5 per game, Toulouse 11.5.
  • Expect attacking football, with both clubs in the hunt for European spots.


Monaco’s attack still packs a punch, they’ve scored in every home game this season, but the defensive cracks are showing. With an average of 3.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match, it’s been thrilling for neutrals, painful for fans. Sebastien Pocognoli’s men have produced over 3.5 goals in every fixture so far, but that perfect storm of scoring and conceding has left them stranded mid-table. Can he really turn things around? Maybe. But confidence, not talent, seems their biggest hurdle right now.

That said, Monaco remain a fortress of sorts at home. They’re unbeaten in six at Stade Louis II, and they’ve clawed back points even from losing positions. There’s spirit in this squad: Folarin Balogun, Ansu Fati, and Golovin keep the front line unpredictable. Still, with Pogba, Zakaria, and Hradecky sidelined, the Monegasques are missing experience in key areas. It’s hard to say how this will end, but it’s shaping up to be a test of nerve and patience as much as skill.

Toulouse, on the other hand, look quietly dangerous. Carlos Martinez’s side have found rhythm, collecting seven points from their last five and scoring nine goals in that stretch. Away from home, they’ve tightened things up too, conceding just four goals on the road all season. Frank Magri is in fine touch, and with Yann Gboho and Aron Donnum supplying from midfield, they’ve got the creativity to hurt anyone on their day. It’s no wonder they’ve won two of their last three trips to Monaco.

When you dive into the numbers, one stat jumps off the page, corners. Both sides love to push wide, with Monaco averaging 10.5 and Toulouse 11.5 corners per game. In fact, Monaco have gone over 8.5 corners in 100% of matches this season. That tells you how open and end-to-end this one could be. Expect fireworks, frantic pressing, and plenty of set-piece action as both chase another big win in the battle for mid-table supremacy. This is what bold, unpredictable Ligue 1 Stats football looks like at its best.

AS Monaco have turned a new page with the appointment of Sébastien Pocognoli, the Belgian coach who replaces Adi Hütter after a mixed start to the season. Formerly at Union Saint-Gilloise, Pocognoli has signed until June 2027 and aims to build a dynamic team rooted in youth development and high-press football. His early sessions at La Turbie reflect his focus on intensity, structure, and trust in emerging talent. Source: La Gazette de Monaco.

Prediction
Over 8.5 Corners @1.58
Corners are practically a given whenever Monaco play at Stade Louis II. They’ve seen over 8.5 corners in every single match this season, averaging 5.25 for and 5.25 against. It’s not surprising given their attacking profile, overlapping full-backs, inverted wingers, and a striker who constantly tests defenders inside the box. Toulouse, on their side, average 11.5 corners per game, surpassing the 8.5 mark in 75% of matches. Both teams also concede a fair number of corners, which only adds fuel to this prediction. Expect Monaco to dominate early possession, forcing Toulouse deep, while the visitors rely on counterattacks and quick transitions to earn their own chances. Both rely on aggressive wide play rather than narrow midfield duels, which naturally leads to deflections and blocked crosses. Statistically and stylistically, this one screams “Over 8.5 Corners.”

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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