Ligue 1 Predictions Football Predictions

Monaco vs Paris FC Prediction Ligue 1 01.11.2025

Alexandru Florin 1 November 2025

Monaco vs Paris FC Prediction Ligue 1

Monaco vs Paris FC Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 11 of Ligue 1, scheduled for Saturday, November 1, 2025, at 18:00 GMT. The game takes place at Stade Louis II and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and Ligue 1+. Monaco sit just one point behind PSG, while Paris FC hover in mid-table after a rollercoaster 3-3 draw with Lyon. In this preview, we’ll dive into the latest form, player updates, and Ligue 1 Stats shaping this exciting clash.

Monaco have averaged 2.8 goals per game this season, one of Ligue 1’s most explosive attacks.
Paris FC have conceded 2 goals per match and failed to win any of their last three league fixtures.
Both sides have seen 80% of their games end with Both Teams to Score.
Monaco are unbeaten at home in all competitions this season.

Monaco’s attack has been electric lately. Five goals against Nantes last weekend proved their frontline can explode at any time. Aleksandr Golovin’s late double sealed that thrilling 5-3 win, while Balogun and Akliouche kept the goals flowing early on. It’s hard not to be impressed, their average of 2.8 goals per match speaks for itself. Under coach Sebastien Pocognoli, the team looks sharper and hungrier. Can they keep that momentum rolling against Paris FC? Judging by their 80% rate of games over 2.5 goals, the signs are bright.

Even so, Monaco’s defense isn’t flawless. They concede an average of 1.4 goals per game, meaning they often leave the door open for opponents to strike back. Still, their home record has been rock solid, unbeaten at Stade Louis II, with clean sheets in consecutive matches. It’s that balance of bold attacking flair and just-enough defensive grit that’s pushed them into second place. If they win here, they could match their longest winning streak of the season. That’s motivation enough.

Paris FC, meanwhile, have been unpredictable. Their comeback from 3-0 down to draw with Lyon showed heart and chaos in equal measure. Stephane Gilli’s men have found the net in 80% of their games, but they’ve also leaked goals: 20 in total this season. That’s the third-worst defensive record in Ligue 1. Even so, they’re not an easy side to write off. Adama Camara and Ilan Kebbal have added spark to their attack, while keeper Obed Nkambadio will need the game of his life to hold off Monaco’s barrage.

Statistically, this fixture screams goals. Both teams average more than three total goals per match, and their Ligue 1 Stats show an incredible 80% of games hitting Over 1.5. History also leans red and white, Monaco have won all five previous meetings. Still, with Paris FC’s fighting spirit and Monaco’s leaky defense, this one might turn into another end-to-end thriller. Expect fireworks in the Principality.

Paul Pogba’s long-awaited comeback for Monaco has been delayed once again after the midfielder suffered an ankle injury during Thursday’s training session, according to coach Sébastien Pocognoli. The 32-year-old, who last played a competitive match in September 2023, was expected to feature against Paris FC but was ruled out as a precaution. His return is now anticipated after the next international break, possibly on November 22 against Rennes. Source: lequipe.fr.

Both Teams to Score
Both Monaco and Paris FC have been regular scorers this season, with an 80% rate of matches featuring Both Teams to Score. Monaco average 2.8 goals per game but concede 1.4, while Paris FC have scored in most outings despite their defensive flaws. Their recent 3-3 draw with Lyon showed they can strike back even when trailing. Monaco’s aggressive style under Pocognoli often leaves space behind, and Paris FC’s pacey attackers like Kebbal and Camara thrive on counterattacks. Add to that Monaco’s 80% Over 1.5 rate, and it’s hard to see a clean sheet on either end. The Principality side will likely control possession, but Paris FC have the tools to hit on the break. Given both sides’ scoring consistency and defensive lapses, BTTS looks like a strong bet.

Over 2.5 Goals
This fixture practically screams Over 2.5 Goals. Monaco average 2.8 goals scored per match and 1.4 conceded, for a staggering 4.2-goal average overall. Paris FC’s numbers also suggest fireworks, with 3.2 goals per game and an 80% Over 1.5 hit rate. Their defensive issues make them vulnerable, but their spirit in attack keeps things lively. The 5-3 and 3-3 scorelines from recent matches highlight how open both teams play. Pocognoli’s Monaco rarely sit back — they push forward aggressively, while Paris FC counter with pace and bravery. When two sides like these meet, control often goes out the window. Given the attacking talent on display and both teams’ habit of conceding, Over 2.5 feels not just likely but expected.