Metz vs Rennes Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 14 of the Ligue 1 season, scheduled for Friday, November 28, 2025, at 19:45 GMT. The game will be broadcast live on Ligue 1+ and Molotov TV (Fra) from Stade Saint-Symphorien in Metz. The hosts are clinging to survival hopes, while Rennes look to break into the top four. In this article, you’ll find expert Ligue 1 Predictions and stats-backed insights from XpertStats tipsters.

• Rennes are unbeaten in four Ligue 1 matches, winning the last three in style.
• Metz have the league’s weakest defense, conceding 30 goals in 13 games.
• Rennes scored four goals in their last outing, while Metz conceded three at Brest.
• Only five of Metz’s 30 goals conceded came at home: their defense tightens in Lorraine.

It’s been a bruising few weeks for Metz. A heartbreaking 3-2 loss at Brest last weekend snapped their three-match winning streak, and it wasn’t for lack of effort. They led early, fought hard, and still watched victory slip away on a last-minute penalty. The numbers don’t lie: Metz average just 0.83 goals scored and one conceded per game, with only 33% of their fixtures producing over 2.5 goals. Their defensive issues have been glaring all season, though curiously, they’ve been much tougher to beat at home, allowing just five goals in Lorraine. Can they dig deep one more time?

Still, there’s a certain resilience about this Metz side. They’ve won every Ligue 1 home match this season when scoring first, and their attacking duo of Hein and Sabaly keeps opposing defenses honest. Hein, in particular, has been lively, chipping in with four goals and two assists in 11 games. The question is whether that’s enough against a Rennes team finally finding its rhythm under Habib Beye. Metz’s average of 7.83 shots per match says it all, they’ll need to be ruthlessly efficient if they want a result.

On the other hand, Rennes seem to be riding a wave of confidence. Three straight victories, 10 goals scored, and just two conceded tell the story. The 4-1 demolition of Monaco last week showcased the balance Beye has been preaching since his arrival: fast transitions, pressing, and collective effort. Rennes average 9.5 shots per game and hit over 25.5 shots in half of their matches, showing attacking intent even away from home. But can they keep up that tempo in Metz, where visiting sides often find the pitch and atmosphere a little less forgiving?

Historically, Rennes dominate this fixture, winning their last seven Ligue 1 encounters against Metz, often by comfortable margins. Yet there’s a sense that Friday’s clash could be tighter than expected. Metz’s compact home defense and Rennes’ occasional lapses on the road might make for a low-shot, tactical duel rather than a shootout. If the numbers hold, expect a measured contest rather than fireworks. For punters, Ligue 1 Predictions suggest focusing on disciplined markets like total shots or under goals. It’s hard to call, but it should be tense, gritty, and well worth tuning in for.