Marseille vs PSG Prediction 21.09.2025


Marseille vs PSG Prediction
Marseille vs PSG Prediction and Betting Tips for matchday five of Ligue 1, set for Sunday, September 22 at the iconic Stade Velodrome. Marseille look to close the gap on leaders PSG after a mixed start to the season. In this article, you’ll find Ligue 1 Predictions from XpertStats experts to guide you through what promises to be another thrilling edition of Le Classique.
- Sunday sees Marseille host PSG at the Stade Velodrome for the 110th Le Classique.
- Marseille have won eight of their last nine Ligue 1 home matches.
- PSG are unbeaten in their last 12 Ligue 1 visits to the Velodrome.
- Both sides have key injuries to manage ahead of this crucial clash.
Marseille have struggled to find consistency under Roberto De Zerbi this season, picking up just six points from their first four Ligue 1 matches. A 4-0 demolition of Lorient last weekend hinted at their attacking potential, but a 2-1 Champions League loss to Real Madrid exposed cracks in their defense. Timothy Weah’s early strike made him the first Marseille player in 16 years to score on their European debut, yet the victory slipped away. Can De Zerbi inspire his side to finally turn the tide against PSG at home?
The hosts will be missing Hamed Traore and Nayef Aguerd due to injuries, while CJ Egan-Riley is back but may not start. Even so, Marseille can rely on Weah and key midfielders like Kondogbia and Hojbjerg to drive the team forward. Historically, Marseille have enjoyed strong home form, and a victory here would mark a seventh straight home win for the first time since 2014-15. Still, the challenge of facing PSG remains daunting.
PSG have been near-flawless under Luis Enrique, winning all five matches since the season’s official kickoff and keeping four clean sheets. They cruised past Atalanta 4-0 in midweek, showing they can dominate on both domestic and European stages. Injuries to Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue, and Joao Neves are notable, yet the squad depth ensures that players like Kvaratskhelia and Barcola can fill the void. The Parisians are unbeaten in twelve league visits to the Velodrome, and last season’s 3-0 win shows the psychological edge they hold.
Sunday’s showdown is more than just points: it’s about pride and momentum. PSG look set to maintain their dominance, but Marseille’s home advantage and attacking flair make an upset possible. This clash could see tight battles in midfield, flashes of brilliance on the flanks, and plenty of drama in front of goal. For those betting, the stats suggest a fiery contest likely filled with cards, fouls, and moments that could swing the title race. XpertStats tipsters are weighing the evidence carefully in their latest Ligue 1 Predictions.
Marseille head into the highly anticipated Classique against PSG with some key injury updates. Nayef Aguerd is declared fit after missing the Champions League clash with Real Madrid due to a concussion protocol, while Geoffrey Kondogbia remains sidelined with a calf issue. Coach Roberto De Zerbi faces selection decisions, particularly in defense and the left flank, with Aguerd potentially starting over Facundo Medina. Source: L’Equipe.
Marseille vs PSG promises tension, and that tension often translates into cards. Le Classique is notorious for heated battles, and recent encounters highlight this trend. PSG’s dominance at Velodrome, winning nine of the last twelve league visits, frustrates the home side, leading to tactical fouls and dissent. Marseille, missing key players like Traore and Aguerd, may resort to aggressive defending to disrupt PSG’s rhythm. Midfield clashes between Kondogbia, Hojbjerg, and Zaire-Emery, Vitinha are likely to escalate. Referees in Ligue 1 have historically issued an average of five cards in this fixture, with tempers flaring especially after goals or controversial decisions. Considering PSG’s attacking threat and Marseille’s desire to assert themselves, expect repeated fouls in the middle and wide areas. Over 4.5 cards appears realistic, as both teams combine high intensity, tactical fouls, and emotional stakes typical of a classic French derby.