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Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction Premier League 06.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 5 December 2025

Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction Premier League

Manchester City vs Sunderland Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League clash scheduled for Saturday, December 06, 2025, at 15:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on NBC (USA) and Peacock (USA) from the Etihad Stadium in Manchester. In this article, you’ll find expert insights and Premier League Stats that could shape your bets and predictions for this weekend’s fixture.

Manchester City have scored an average of 2.71 goals per match this season.
Sunderland’s defense concedes just 1 goal per game on average.
Erling Haaland averages over two shots on target per 90 minutes.
City’s matches produce over 8.5 corners in 86% of games.

When Manchester City and Sunderland meet, you’d expect a one-sided affair. But not this time. City, while second in the table, have been far from watertight—conceding eight goals in their last three league games, as many as in the twelve before. Even with Haaland scoring at will, Pep Guardiola’s side look strangely fragile. Their attack is breathtaking, sure, but their defense? A bit of a coin toss lately. It’s the kind of inconsistency that keeps neutral fans hooked and bettors cautious.

Sunderland, on the other hand, are punching way above their weight. With 23 points from 14 matches, the newly promoted side have rattled the Premier League establishment. Régis Le Bris’ men have already stunned Chelsea and held both Arsenal and Liverpool. Can they really turn things around at the Etihad? Maybe not likely—but you can’t rule it out either. Their discipline, especially defensively, has been the backbone of this impressive run, conceding just one goal per match on average.

Still, City’s attacking rhythm at home is hard to ignore. They average 2.71 goals per game and create over 7 corners per match, constantly pressing high and recycling possession. Haaland alone averages 2.14 shots on target per 90 minutes—numbers that make him a nightmare for any backline. That said, Guardiola might rotate lightly with the Real Madrid clash looming midweek. A few fresh legs could add energy, but also unpredictability.

Even so, Sunderland’s resilience shouldn’t be underestimated. Le Bris’ men rarely lose their shape, though their attack—averaging just 0.57 goals per match—might struggle to keep up. If City find their rhythm early, this could turn into another dominant home display. Expect goals, tempo, and a few nervous moments at the back. The stats don’t lie, and neither do the patterns in these Premier League Stats: City’s firepower usually wins out, but don’t be shocked if Sunderland make them sweat first.

Pep Guardiola confirmed Rodri will miss Manchester City’s Premier League clash with Sunderland, noting the midfielder is “getting better” but still recovering from a serious knee ligament injury. His absence continues to force tactical adjustments, with Mateo Kovacic filling the holding role as City pursue leaders Arsenal during a congested schedule. Guardiola also remained non-committal about Rodri’s availability for Real Madrid. Source: Tribuna

Haaland Over 1.5 Shots on Target @1.51
Erling Haaland’s consistency in front of goal remains unmatched. With 29 shots on target this season, averaging 2.14 per 90 minutes, the Norwegian is central to Manchester City’s attacking rhythm. Facing a Sunderland defense that concedes an average of 1 goal per game, Haaland is likely to see plenty of service, especially at the Etihad, where City average over seven corners and 2.71 goals per match. Pep Guardiola’s system thrives on volume of chances rather than selective finishing, which means Haaland’s output rarely dips even when he doesn’t score. Sunderland’s defense is organized but lacks Premier League pace and depth, especially under sustained pressure. Given City’s need to maintain momentum before their Champions League trip to Madrid, Haaland should feature prominently. Two shots on target? It’s not just possible, it’s expected.