Manchester City vs Everton Prediction Premier League 18.10.2025


Manchester City vs Everton Prediction Premier League
Manchester City vs Everton Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s Premier League showdown at the Etihad Stadium. Pep Guardiola’s men could return to the top with a win, while Everton aim to keep their impressive run going. In this article, you’ll discover Premier League Footballer Stats and analysis from XpertStats experts.
- Manchester City average 2.67 goals per game, with 100% of matches seeing over 1.5 goals.
- Everton are unbeaten in their last five home games but haven’t won away to City since 2010.
- Erling Haaland has scored 21 goals in 12 appearances this season across all competitions.
- City are unbeaten in their last 16 Premier League meetings with Everton.
Manchester City come into this fixture flying high after seven unbeaten matches across all competitions (W5 D2). They’re scoring at a blistering rate, an average of 2.67 goals per game and creating an ocean of chances with 6.33 corners per match. Erling Haaland, unsurprisingly, is the star attraction. The Norwegian forward has already netted nine goals in seven league games, leading the Golden Boot race once again. Guardiola recently called his side “better and better,” and he might be right. City are collecting 2.04 points per game this calendar year, the best in the league. Still, they’ll want to turn that consistency into dominance, especially at home, where they’ve been nearly unstoppable.
Everton, meanwhile, have quietly built something interesting under David Moyes. Their 2-1 comeback win over Crystal Palace before the break showed real grit, with Iliman Ndiaye and Jack Grealish (yes, the on-loan City man) sealing the win. But Grealish can’t play this weekend and that’s a blow. Everton are averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game, meaning they’re often in the thick of the action. Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in 67% of their matches. Moyes has them pressing hard, committing around 9.33 fouls per game — a reflection of their aggressive, disciplined shape. Can that hold up at the Etihad? Hard to say. But they’ve looked sharper than they did a year ago.
History isn’t kind to Everton in this matchup. They’ve gone 16 league games without beating City, their last win dating back to January 2017. Even worse, they haven’t won at the Etihad since December 2010. That’s a long time. And yet, Moyes’ men won’t roll over. With players like Dewsbury-Hall returning from suspension and Beto leading the line, the Toffees have the tools to make it uncomfortable, at least early on. They’ll likely look to frustrate City with a compact shape before breaking on the counter.
City, though, have too much firepower and depth to be held back for long. Haaland is hunting for his 10th Premier League goal of the season, while Jeremy Doku’s pace could cause real problems on the left. The hosts’ average of nine total corners per game suggests they’ll dominate territory. Expect Guardiola’s men to push high and press relentlessly. It’s tough to see Everton escaping without conceding at least twice, given City’s 100% rate of matches with over 1.5 goals this season.
So, can Everton spring a shock? Maybe. But it’s a long shot. The data, form, and the storylines all point to one conclusion: City are in control. Their confidence, precision, and relentless tempo make them hard to stop even on an off day. With Premier League Footballer Stats backing up the numbers, this one looks tilted towards the champions once again.
Manchester City head into Saturday’s Premier League clash with Everton aiming for a third straight win, backed by a 65.9% victory likelihood according to Opta simulations. Pep Guardiola’s side remain the league’s top scorers in 2025, while Erling Haaland has found the net in 10 consecutive matches. Everton, winless in their last 14 away trips to the Etihad, face a tough task against the reigning champions. Source: theanalyst.com.

Manchester City’s dominance over Everton is hard to ignore. They’ve gone 16 league matches unbeaten against the Toffees and haven’t lost at the Etihad to them since 2010. City’s offensive metrics are elite, averaging 2.67 goals per game and registering over 1.5 goals in 100% of fixtures. Meanwhile, Everton concede an average of 1.67 goals per match, often struggling against top-tier attacks. Pep Guardiola’s side control games through possession and territory, winning an average of 6.33 corners per match while allowing just 2.67. Everton, without Grealish and potentially missing key defenders, face an uphill task. Haaland’s form (21 goals in 12 appearances) makes a home victory even more likely. Given City’s consistency, superior depth, and motivation to climb back to the top, backing Manchester City to win is statistically justified and strategically sound. Everything points to another strong performance from the defending champions.
When Manchester City play, goals follow. Every single one of their matches this season has seen over 1.5 goals, that’s a 100% strike rate. They average 2.67 goals scored per game and 3.67 total goals per match, meaning they rarely get involved in low-scoring affairs. Everton’s games tell a similar story: 67% have featured over 1.5 goals, with the Toffees averaging 3 total goals per outing. Moyes’ side can score, but they also concede frequently, at 1.67 per match. With attacking players like Haaland, Foden, and Doku on one end and Everton’s counter-attacking threats on the other, it’s hard to imagine a dull contest. City’s relentless tempo and Everton’s willingness to fight back make over 1.5 goals an easy call. The data, recent performances, and tactical setups all lean heavily toward another high-scoring afternoon at the Etihad.