Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s Bundesliga fixture at the MEWA Arena. Hjulmand’s Leverkusen are chasing their third straight league win, while Mainz fight to climb out of the relegation zone. In this article, you’ll discover Bundesliga Predictions and insights from XpertStats analysts.

• Leverkusen unbeaten in seven matches across all competitions under Kasper Hjulmand.
• Mainz still searching for their first home league win since February.
• Average goals per game: Mainz 1.33, Leverkusen 4.5.
• Leverkusen’s matches have seen 100% Over 2.5 goals so far.

Mainz come into this one under real pressure. Four losses from six games have left Bo Henriksen’s men hovering in the bottom three, and the goals just aren’t coming. Zero goals in their last three league home matches tell the story. They average just 1.33 total goals per game, with no match seeing over 2.5 goals yet this season. Can Henriksen’s side find some spark at home? It’s hard to say, but the signs aren’t promising. The defense looks stretched, and the MEWA Arena hasn’t exactly been a fortress lately.

Still, Mainz can take heart from their set-piece numbers. They average six corners won per match, one of the few positives in a tough campaign. Yet, that pressure often leads nowhere when finishing remains their Achilles heel. With goalkeeper Robin Zentner suspended and Anthony Caci still sidelined, their back line looks fragile. It’s not just about defending, though. It’s about confidence, and right now, Mainz seem to have left theirs in February.

Leverkusen, by contrast, look revitalized. Since Kasper Hjulmand’s arrival, Die Werkself have rediscovered their rhythm, going seven games unbeaten. Their attack is humming averaging 2.5 goals per game and their fixtures are a rollercoaster, hitting 100% Over 2.5 goals. That’s a bold transformation after a rocky start to the season. Hjulmand’s side have struck the right balance between flair and discipline, and their recent 2-0 win over Union Berlin showed a team growing in confidence and cohesion.

Even so, Leverkusen aren’t without issues. Injuries to Exequiel Palacios and Martin Terrier test their depth, while Patrik Schick may still be eased back in. But the momentum is undeniable. They’ve taken 11 points from six games and now eye a climb into the top four. A win here would keep them hot on Dortmund’s heels and it feels within reach. Mainz’s numbers just don’t stack up against this Leverkusen machine. Expect intensity, maybe drama, but most likely a familiar outcome: Leverkusen on top.

For more match insights, odds analysis, and updated stats across Germany’s top flight, check out the full range of Bundesliga Predictions from XpertStats.