Liverpool vs Everton Prediction 20.09.2025
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Liverpool vs Everton Prediction
Liverpool vs Everton Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s early kick-off at Anfield, the 247th Merseyside derby. The Reds are looking to extend their perfect league start, while Everton aim to end decades of frustration across Stanley Park. In this article, you’ll find Premier League Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Liverpool are the only Premier League team with a perfect start this season (4 wins from 4).
- Everton have taken six wins in their last 11 away league matches, a big improvement on previous years.
- Mohamed Salah needs two goals to become the all-time top scorer in Premier League Merseyside derbies.
- David Moyes has never won in 20 league visits to Anfield.
Liverpool’s season so far has been a whirlwind. They’ve made a habit of leaving it late, with five consecutive matches decided after the 83rd minute. Wednesday’s 3-2 Champions League thriller against Atletico Madrid was the latest chapter, sealed by Virgil van Dijk’s stoppage-time header. Manager Arne Slot has praised his team’s mentality but admitted they “should have made it easier.” Still, sitting top with 12 points, the Reds look sharp even if their nerves have been tested. Can they keep up this late-show magic against Everton? That’s the big question.
Recent history suggests yes. Liverpool have lost just one of their last 28 home meetings with Everton, winning the last four. Mohamed Salah, sitting on eight derby goals, has the chance to leapfrog Steven Gerrard as the top scorer in this rivalry. Add in the firepower of record signing Alexander Isak and the possible return of Curtis Jones, and Slot’s side looks well-stocked. The stats back it up too: Liverpool average 2.5 goals per match while conceding only one, making Anfield a fortress that few breach.
Everton, though, come into this derby with some quiet confidence. After an opening-day loss, they’ve picked up seven points from the last nine and progressed in the EFL Cup. A 0-0 draw against Aston Villa last weekend highlighted their defensive discipline, even if their finishing left fans frustrated. “We just lacked the final touch,” Moyes admitted, as his side managed only two shots on target from 20 attempts. That said, Everton’s away form has improved massively this year, with six league wins on the road in 2025 alone. If there’s ever a moment to upset the odds, it’s now.
Still, history is cruel. Moyes has never won in 20 Premier League visits to Anfield, and Everton’s derby record is grim: just two wins from the last 29. Their average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game makes them unpredictable, but against a Liverpool side that often strikes late, those lapses could prove fatal. Anfield will be bouncing, and while Everton’s fight should make it competitive, the balance still tilts heavily in the Reds’ favour. Expect drama, maybe even controversy, because in the Merseyside derby, nothing comes easy.
That leaves us with a clear view: this clash might not be settled until deep into the second half, but Liverpool remain the side to back. For all of Everton’s recent progress, the combination of history, firepower, and sheer late-game resilience puts the Reds a step ahead. Another chapter in this fierce rivalry awaits — and it promises to be gripping. Premier League Predictions don’t get much bigger than this Merseyside derby.
Liverpool manager Arne Slot has addressed key issues ahead of Saturday’s Premier League clash against Everton at Anfield. Slot confirmed that Alexander Isak’s starting spot will depend on his recovery from Wednesday’s Champions League match, while all 21 players are currently fit. The Dutch coach praised Everton’s signings, including Jack Grealish, and emphasized the intensity required for the Merseyside derby. Slot also highlighted the need to avoid conceding late goals to maintain Premier League consistency. Source: BBC.
Backing Liverpool (-1.5) makes sense given the gulf between the sides at Anfield. The Reds average 2.5 goals per game this season while conceding just one, showing both attacking firepower and defensive solidity. They’ve won their last four home derbies, all by at least two goals, and have only lost once to Everton in their last 28 home meetings. Mohamed Salah, with eight derby goals, is in form and chasing Steven Gerrard’s record. Add Virgil van Dijk’s set-piece threat and Alexander Isak settling into the side, and Liverpool’s offensive options look too strong for Everton’s makeshift back line. David Moyes’ men average 1.5 goals conceded per match and may again have to rely on James Garner as a makeshift full-back. While Everton have improved away from home, history and stats suggest Liverpool should create enough chances to win by two clear goals or more.
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