Lithuania vs Poland Prediction World Cup Qualifiers 12.10.2025
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Lithuania vs Poland Prediction World Cup Qualifiers
Lithuania vs Poland Prediction and Betting Tips for Sunday’s World Cup 2026 qualifier in Kaunas. The White-Reds visit a Lithuanian side that’s already out of contention, hoping to maintain momentum in Group G. Fans can explore Soccer Stats and trends to gauge form and performance ahead of kickoff. Can Poland really keep up the pace and stay in the race for automatic qualification?
- Poland sits second in Group G, just behind the Netherlands, with 10 points from five games.
- Lithuania has only three points and is no longer in contention for World Cup qualification.
- Poland won the reverse fixture 1-0 at home in March, with Lewandowski scoring the decisive goal.
- Lithuania have struggled to score against Poland, failing to net in their last three encounters.
Poland have bounced back after a rocky June, with a managerial shake-up that saw Jan Urban replace Michal Probierz. Urban, a former striker with World Cup experience, has found common ground with star striker Robert Lewandowski. The team has since gone unbeaten in qualifiers, including a 3-1 win over Finland and a 1-1 draw against the Netherlands. Still, top-two placement isn’t guaranteed; Finland is close behind on points, making every match crucial. The Eagles are not just playing for points—they’re playing for playoff positioning and pride.
Lithuania, meanwhile, have struggled throughout Group G, with only three points to their name. Despite a spirited effort in recent matches, including taking the lead against Finland before a 2-1 defeat, the Baltic side faces an uphill battle. Coach Edgaras Jankauskas is trying to maximize his squad, even with limited resources. Key players like Fedor Cernych and Gvidas Gineitis will need to step up, but facing a Polish team led by Lewandowski will be a tall order. Can they at least avoid a heavy defeat at home?
The White-Reds’ squad remains strong, with Lewandowski’s record-breaking presence and Piotr Zielinski orchestrating the midfield. Some absences like Nicola Zalewski might require adjustments, but Jakub Kaminski or Michal Skoras could fill the gaps. Poland’s form at home has been solid, but away from home, they’ll need to assert themselves early. Last meeting saw Lewandowski score the winner, and the visitors will be hoping for a cleaner, more comfortable victory this time.
Looking at head-to-head records, Poland dominates, winning seven of 13 encounters. Lithuania has only two wins, both rare, and five of the last seven matches ended under 2.5 goals. With the hosts struggling to score and Poland in good form, it’s hard to see a surprise here. Even so, football isn’t always predictable, and Lithuania might make them work. For punters, the trends point to a Polish win, likely with goals, but some caution is always wise. Soccer Stats suggest the White-Reds hold a clear advantage, but the game will still be contested fiercely in Kaunas.
Poland has been dominant in their head-to-head clashes with Lithuania, winning seven of the last 13 encounters and securing a 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture. They are second in Group G, just behind the Netherlands, and have a strong record under Jan Urban’s short tenure. Key players like Lewandowski and Zielinski offer experience and finishing quality, while Lithuania has struggled to find the net, failing to score in their last three meetings against Poland. The visitors’ form in qualifiers is solid, with a 3-1 win over Finland and a draw against the Netherlands highlighting their capability. Lithuania’s low FIFA ranking and limited squad depth make it difficult for them to contain a motivated Polish side. Even with minor absences in the squad, Poland’s quality across attack and midfield should prevail, making a victory for the White-Reds highly probable.
Matches between Poland and Lithuania have historically been low-scoring, but recent qualifiers suggest more open play. Poland have scored three goals against Finland and one against the Netherlands, showing an attacking edge under Jan Urban. Lithuania, while struggling to score, managed to net against Finland in their recent 2-1 defeat, indicating they can break through occasionally. With Lewandowski leading the line and Zielinski orchestrating, Poland are likely to find the net at least once, and Lithuania could sneak in a goal, making over 1.5 goals a realistic expectation. The first half may be cagey, but once the hosts try to attack, space will open for Poland. Considering both teams’ need to push for points in different ways, a game with at least two goals is probable.
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