Lens vs Marseille Prediction Ligue 1 25.10.2025
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Lens vs Marseille Prediction Ligue 1
Lens vs Marseille Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s Ligue 1 showdown at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lens enter on a confident run, having earned 16 points from their opening eight games, their best start since the 2022–23 season. Marseille, meanwhile, look ruthless under Roberto De Zerbi, topping the table and hunting a sixth straight league win. In this article, we’ll break down key insights, tactical edges, and Soccer Stats that could shape this high-stakes encounter.
- Lens are unbeaten in their last four Ligue 1 matches (W3, D1).
- Marseille have scored 21 goals in eight league games, the most in Ligue 1.
- Lens average 2 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game.
- Marseille have kept a first-half clean sheet in every away game this season.
Lens have quietly built momentum at home, winning three straight and scoring freely in front of their fans. Eight of their twelve league goals have come at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, where Pierre Sage’s men are fast, direct, and confident on the ball. Their defensive record is no less impressive, only 0.75 goals conceded per match and they’ve allowed the fewest goals after halftime in Ligue 1. That structure and balance have made Lens one of the toughest home sides in the league. Still, Marseille’s visit will be their biggest test yet. Can they keep that backline tight against the most prolific attack in France?
Marseille arrive flying high, and it’s hard to argue otherwise. Five consecutive Ligue 1 wins, 17 goals scored in that span, they’ve been clinical, almost machine-like in the final third. Mason Greenwood has been the standout, bagging six goals already, including four in their last outing. De Zerbi’s influence is clear: quick transitions, fluid attacking lines, and confidence in possession. Yet, there’s a small cloud, defensive lapses when pressed high. On the road, though, OM have yet to concede in the first half. That’s a bold stat and perhaps the foundation of their title ambitions.
It’s hard not to admire Lens’ resilience. Sage has rotated wisely, kept his squad fit, and maintained a consistent rhythm despite injuries earlier in the campaign. With Ganiou and Machado back, they’ll be close to full strength. The hosts’ corner stats are also eye-catching, they’ve hit over 8.5 corners in 100% of their matches. That relentless attacking rhythm might give them the edge in set-piece situations. Even so, Marseille’s pace and finishing power could easily turn the game in moments. It’s that kind of fixture, fine margins, high tension, and maybe a few surprises.
Ultimately, this feels like a night for goals. Lens love to attack at home; Marseille rarely hold back. Both sides average at least two total goals per game and thrive in open, high-energy contests. Add in Greenwood’s red-hot form and Lens’ aggressive wing play, and it’s tough to imagine a quiet night in Lens. Whether it ends in a draw or a narrow win either way, expect fireworks and plenty to analyze later in the week, perfect fuel for fans tracking the latest Soccer Stats and betting trends across Ligue 1.
Marseille completed their final training session on Friday afternoon at the Robert Louis-Dreyfus center before traveling north to face Lens on Saturday night in Ligue 1. Roberto De Zerbi’s men, including Arthur Vermeeren and Robinio Vaz, trained in high spirits after the Lisbon setback, with no new injuries reported. Long-term absentees Hamed Traoré, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Facundo Medina, and Amine Gouiri remain sidelined. Source: laprovence.com.
Lens thrive in home matches where tempo and energy dominate. They’ve scored in every league game at Stade Bollaert-Delelis this season, averaging 2 goals per match. Marseille’s form is even more explosive: 17 goals in their last five Ligue 1 games and not a single goalless first half away from home. While both defenses are among the league’s best statistically, their attacking intent often leaves gaps. Marseille’s style under De Zerbi is aggressive and vertical, ideal for quick counter-strikes. Lens, meanwhile, rely on width and direct crossing, creating plenty of scoring chances. With both averaging around 2 total goals per game, this fixture screams balance: a solid Lens defense meeting Marseille’s fluid front line. Given Lens’ 50% BTTS rate and Marseille’s 25%, it might seem tight — but form and match context suggest goals both ways. Expect an open, entertaining encounter.
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