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Leeds vs West Ham Prediction Premier League 24.10.2025

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Leeds vs West Ham Prediction Premier League 24.10.2025

Leeds vs West Ham Prediction Championship

Leeds vs West Ham Prediction and Betting Tips for Friday’s Premier League showdown at Elland Road. Two sides stuck near the relegation zone meet in what could be a turning point for their seasons. In this article, you’ll find insights and stats drawn from Premier League Predictions by XpertStats experts, offering a closer look at where the value might lie for punters and fans alike.

  • Leeds have collected 8 points from 8 Premier League games, sitting 16th in the table.
  • West Ham remain 19th with only 4 points and just one win all season.
  • Both sides have scored an average of 1 goal per match, suggesting a tight affair.
  • Elland Road hosts a crucial clash between two struggling sides desperate for points.


Leeds’ Premier League return hasn’t gone to plan. Daniel Farke’s men have taken just two wins from eight, collecting 8 points and hovering three clear of the drop. Scoring only seven goals, they’ve averaged a single strike per game and that lack of cutting edge is starting to sting. Their last win came back in September at Wolves, and the 2-0 loss at Burnley last weekend summed up their current form: tidy in spells, but toothless in attack. Still, with home fans behind them, Elland Road might just ignite that fighting Leeds spirit we saw in flashes early in the season.

Farke faces a few headaches, though. Gnonto and Okafor are likely to miss out again, and doubts remain over Ampadu and Struijk due to illness. That said, Daniel James could return to the starting lineup, while Calvert-Lewin should continue to lead the line. Leeds have won almost half of their historical meetings with the Hammers, and with 5.75 corners won per game on average, expect them to push the tempo at home. Can they finally make that pressure count?

As for West Ham, it’s been a rough ride. Nuno Espírito Santo is still searching for his first away win since taking charge, and the Hammers’ 2-0 home defeat to Brentford last Monday did little to lift spirits. They’ve scored just six goals in eight matches and conceded 12, a stat that perfectly captures their lack of balance. Despite decent corner numbers, averaging 11.75 per game overall, the team struggles to convert chances, with BTTS landing in only 25% of their fixtures. Confidence is fragile, and fans are starting to show their frustration.

Even so, West Ham can be dangerous on their day. Jarrod Bowen and Lucas Paquetá still offer creativity, while Tomas Soucek, set to mark his 200th league appearance, adds steel in midfield. If the Hammers can steady themselves defensively, they might just nick a result. Still, with Leeds slightly stronger at home and both sides averaging around two total goals per match, a cautious, low-scoring encounter seems more likely than a goal fest. Those keeping an eye on Premier League Predictions might sense this one tilting Leeds’ way, but it’s far from a sure thing.

Leeds United head coach Daniel Farke remains under mounting pressure to convert promising performances into points, as his side sit just three points above the relegation zone. Despite dominating key metrics such as possession, shots and expected goals, Leeds have struggled with finishing, posting a low 6.7% conversion rate. With West Ham visiting Elland Road next, turning data-driven dominance into results is now critical for survival. Source: skysports.com.

XpertStats Bet Builder
1X
Leeds have looked far more stable at Elland Road than away, losing just once in four home matches this season. Despite their struggles in front of goal, their defense has held up reasonably well, conceding only one per game on average. That home resilience could prove vital against a West Ham side that hasn’t won in five and has picked up just one point in that run. The Hammers have managed only two goals in their last five matches, while firing blanks in three. Nuno’s men are low on confidence, particularly after four straight home defeats and just one victory all season. Leeds, meanwhile, have shown signs of improvement in build-up play and tend to perform better under pressure at home. With Elland Road’s crowd behind them and West Ham’s away form in shambles, backing Leeds to avoid defeat (1X) feels a safe and logical play.
Under 3.5 Goals
The under 3.5 goals bet aligns perfectly with both teams’ trends. Leeds have seen under 3.5 in 75% of their games, with only one match featuring more than three goals. Their attack is modest, averaging 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match, while West Ham have hit just 1 goal per game and conceded 1.5. Neither side has shown the fluidity or creativity needed for high-scoring contests. West Ham’s BTTS rate sits at only 25%, meaning goals are rare in their fixtures. Leeds’ home advantage should tighten things up, but Farke’s team tends to play cautiously against sides near the bottom. Add to that both teams’ current lack of confidence, and a tactical, scrappy match feels inevitable. Expect a tense 1-0 or 1-1 outcome at most, a classic under 3.5 scenario.
@ 1.70

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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