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Lecce vs Napoli Prediction Serie A 28.10.2025

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Lecce vs Napoli Prediction Serie A 28.10.2025

Lecce vs Napoli Prediction Serie A

Lecce vs Napoli Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 9 of Serie A, scheduled for October 28, 2025, at 17:30 GMT. The match takes place at the Stadio Via del Mare and will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime, DAZN, and Discovery+. After reclaiming top spot in Serie A, Napoli aim to extend their lead, while Lecce fight to escape the relegation zone. For more detailed insights and team data, visit Serie A Stats on XpertStats.

  • Napoli travel to Lecce after a crucial 3-1 win over Inter Milan.
  • Kevin De Bruyne sidelined until 2026, forcing Conte into tactical reshuffles.
  • Lecce struggling at home with just two points in four matches.
  • Expect a tight, physical encounter with plenty of fouls and midfield battles.


Napoli’s 3-1 triumph over Inter last Saturday was a statement win, but it came at a cost. Kevin De Bruyne’s high-grade thigh injury rules him out until 2026, a major blow for Antonio Conte’s plans. The Belgian’s absence forces Napoli to rethink their midfield shape, possibly reverting to a 4-3-3 with McTominay and Anguissa driving the engine room. Even so, with Anguissa soon bound for the Africa Cup of Nations and Lobotka not fully fit, depth looks thin. Conte’s men remain disciplined: Napoli average 1.5 goals scored per game and just 1 conceded, but they’ll need grit to keep momentum alive away from home.

Lecce, meanwhile, come off a 3-2 defeat to Udinese that summed up their season: spirited but flawed. Coach Eusebio Di Francesco lamented “too many collective mistakes” and hinted at possible rotation ahead of this clash. The Salentini average just 0.75 goals per game, conceding twice that amount, but they rarely make life easy for their visitors. They commit an average of 12.25 fouls per match and win 13.5, showing how combative they can be, especially in midfield duels. Can they channel that fight into an upset? It’s a tall order, but home soil sometimes sparks surprises.

Statistically, Lecce’s home games see plenty of action: an average of 10.5 corners and 25.75 fouls per match. Napoli’s numbers are similar, suggesting a stop-start rhythm rather than fluid football. With the champions averaging 23.5 total fouls per game themselves, expect a tactical chess match marked by physical interruptions. That’s Conte’s kind of game: controlled chaos with structure. Still, fatigue from back-to-back big fixtures might creep in.

In short, Lecce will try to frustrate and counter, while Napoli look to impose their superior quality despite missing key names. It’s hard to imagine a clean game here, expect tackles, cards, and plenty of interruptions. For bettors eyeing this one, fouls markets look promising, reflecting both teams’ combative styles and intensity. You can explore more detailed breakdowns through the Serie A Stats section for updated trends and metrics before placing your bets.

Fenerbahçe and Galatasaray are reportedly locked in an Istanbul derby off the pitch, battling for Napoli midfielder André-Frank Zambo Anguissa. According to Gazzetta dello Sport, both Turkish giants are monitoring the Cameroonian’s contract situation closely, as talks with Napoli over a renewal until 2027 have stalled. Despite Antonio Conte viewing Anguissa as untouchable, rising interest and lucrative offers from Turkey could test the club’s resolve.

Source: Gazzetta dello Sport.
Prediction
Over 22.5 Fouls @1.88
This match screams physicality. Lecce average 25.75 fouls per game, while Napoli hover around 23.5. Both sides press high, close spaces quickly, and rely on aggressive duels in midfield. Lecce’s Coulibaly and Ramadani often engage in multiple challenges per half, and Conte’s men, missing De Bruyne, may turn scrappier without their creative anchor. The setting at Via del Mare also tends to bring emotion and tension—fans pushing their side to disrupt rhythm and force contact. Given both teams commit over 11 fouls individually on average, surpassing 22.5 total looks realistic. Even if Napoli dominate possession, Lecce’s defensive transitions guarantee plenty of tactical fouls. Add in the potential for frustration from Napoli’s rotation players and the odds tilt strongly toward a high-foul contest. Over 22.5 fouls feels like the safe, smart call here.

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FAQ – Lecce vs Napoli Prediction

Who will win between Lecce and Napoli?

Napoli are favourites, but Lecce’s physical style could make this a tougher test than expected. A narrow away win seems most likely.

Where can I watch the Lecce vs Napoli live?

The Lecce vs Napoli Serie A match will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime, DAZN, and Discovery+ in Italy at 17:30 local time.

What time does Lecce vs Napoli start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 (GMT) on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, at the Stadio Via del Mare.

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