Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction 29.08.2025
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Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction
Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction and Betting Tips for Friday’s Serie A clash at the Stadio Via del Mare. Milan enter desperate to put their opening-day setback behind them, while Lecce look to build momentum after a gritty draw in Genoa. In this article, you’ll discover Serie A Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- AC Milan searching for their first Serie A win after a shock opening defeat
- Lecce held Genoa to a goalless draw in their first league outing
- Christian Pulisic has four career goals against Lecce, including a brace last season
- Lecce have beaten Milan at home just once in nearly two decades
Milan’s season couldn’t have started in worse fashion. A 2-1 home defeat to newly-promoted Cremonese left fans stunned, especially given the Rossoneri’s 24 shots produced just one goal. Strahinja Pavlovic’s header wasn’t enough to cover defensive lapses, and Max Allegri now faces the same early struggles that plagued Milan last year. Can he really turn things around before the pressure builds? That’s the question hanging over this trip to Lecce.
Even so, there are positives for Milan. Their Coppa Italia win against Bari showed glimpses of sharp attacking play, with Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leao both on the scoresheet. Leao’s absence through injury this week is a big blow, but Pulisic has history here: four goals against Lecce, including a brace at Via del Mare in March. That’s a bold record, and Allegri may count on the American’s cutting edge to unlock what’s usually a stubborn Lecce backline.
As for Lecce, Eusebio Di Francesco’s men are quietly encouraged by their start. A 2-0 cup win over Juve Stabia followed by a goalless draw away to Genoa suggests there’s fight in this squad. Still, losing their talisman Nikola Krstovic to Atalanta was a hammer blow. Young loanee Francesco Camarda stepped in last weekend, and while his energy is promising, goals may be hard to come by. That said, Lecce’s home crowd can often tilt the rhythm of a game: will it be enough against Milan?
History says no. Lecce have beaten Milan at home just once in 19 attempts, a stat that looms large over this encounter. With Allegri under pressure and his team desperate to erase the stinging memory of opening day, the expectation leans toward a Rossoneri response. Nothing’s guaranteed in football, but given Lecce’s blunt attack and Milan’s superior squad depth, the visitors should have enough to claim three points. The safer call? Trust in Serie A Predictions pointing toward Milan bouncing back.
AC Milan to win is the logical call given the gulf in quality between the two sides. Despite their shock defeat to Cremonese, Milan created 24 chances, second only to Juventus in Serie A’s opening round. That suggests their attack is functioning, even if finishing was wasteful. Lecce, on the other hand, have struggled for firepower since Nikola Krstovic’s exit. A 0-0 draw against Genoa showed defensive grit but little attacking spark, relying on 17-year-old Francesco Camarda to lead the line. Historically, Lecce’s record against Milan is poor: just one home win in 19 league matches. Christian Pulisic’s strong history in this fixture (four goals, including a brace in Lecce last season) adds further weight. Milan will be desperate to bounce back after opening-day disappointment, and with superior squad depth, they should edge this one. Expect Allegri’s men to control possession and eventually break down Lecce’s resistance.
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