Lazio vs Cagliari Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 10 of the Italian Serie A, scheduled for Monday, November 3, 2025, at 19:45 GMT. The match takes place at the Stadio Olimpico and will be broadcast live on DAZN and Sky Sport Calcio. Lazio enter this game riding a five-match unbeaten streak, while Cagliari travel to Rome desperate to snap a frustrating run of five games without victory. In this article, you’ll find key stats and Serie A Stats to help guide your prediction.

• Lazio are unbeaten in their last five Serie A matches.
• Cagliari have gone five games without a win, conceding twice in four of them.
• The Biancocelesti have kept four clean sheets in their last five league games.
• Lazio are unbeaten in their last 20 meetings with Cagliari.

For Lazio, the story of the season so far has been one of quiet resilience. After a slow start and limited transfer movement, Maurizio Sarri’s side seem to have found balance. They’re averaging 2 goals per match while conceding only 1, showing an improved defensive structure compared to earlier months. Three consecutive clean sheets hint at a newfound discipline, and that’s impressive considering the long injury list. Sure, it hasn’t been flashy football, more patient, more pragmatic, but it’s working. Can they keep that edge against a scrappy opponent like Cagliari?

At the other end, Cagliari’s struggles tell a different story. Despite flashes of fight, they’ve failed to win in five straight games and have conceded 1.25 goals per match. Fabio Pisacane’s men did manage to stay unbeaten in their last three away trips, though, a small but encouraging detail. With Sebastiano Esposito carrying their attacking hopes, Cagliari have shown they can find the net (scoring in 75% of their games). Still, their defensive gaps and lack of control in midfield often leave them exposed, especially against faster, possession-heavy teams.

Statistically, this matchup leans heavily in Lazio’s favour. They’ve dominated this fixture for over a decade, unbeaten in their last 20 league meetings and winning 11 of the last 12. Cagliari’s record in Rome is even worse: no clean sheet at the Olimpico since 2009. It’s a pattern that’s hard to ignore. Add in Lazio’s stronger home form: 8 of their 11 Serie A goals have come at the Olimpico — and you start to see why Sarri’s men enter as clear favourites.

That said, football isn’t scripted. Cagliari’s high BTTS rate (75%) suggests they won’t go down without a swing, and Lazio’s recent goalless draw against Pisa shows they can struggle to convert chances. Still, with the home crowd roaring and Sarri’s tactical tweaks paying off, the hosts look poised to grind out another result. It might not be a goal fest, but expect a solid, professional display. That’s why this one feels like a confident call for a Lazio win. Keep an eye on those Serie A Stats, they don’t lie.