Latvia vs Serbia Prediction 06.09.2025
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Latvia vs Serbia Prediction
Latvia vs Serbia Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s World Cup 2026 qualifier at the Daugava Stadium in Riga. Both nations are locked on four points in Group K, but Serbia hold a game in hand. In this article, you’ll find expert World Cup Predictions from the XpertStats team, with analysis of form, team news, and key players to watch.
- Latvia and Serbia are tied on four points in Group K ahead of Saturday’s clash.
- Serbia remain unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions.
- Latvia will be without suspended defender Antonijs Cernomordijs.
- Aleksandar Mitrovic scored a hat-trick in Serbia’s last qualifier.
Serbia arrive in Latvia with momentum and confidence. Dragan Stojkovic’s men are unbeaten in six, having dispatched Austria in the Nations League playoffs before cruising past Andorra in June. That 3-0 win was all about Aleksandar Mitrovic, who marked his 100th cap with a clinical hat-trick. Alongside Dusan Vlahovic, the Eagles have serious firepower. Even so, goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic opted out this time, meaning Bournemouth’s Djordje Petrovic is likely to get the nod in goal. Can Serbia’s depth prove enough to keep their unbeaten streak alive?
Latvia, meanwhile, have been surprisingly resilient in this group. Paolo Nicolato’s side bounced back from a heavy defeat to England with a hard-fought draw against Albania. Antonijs Cernomordijs played the role of hero and villain that night, an own goal, an equaliser, and a yellow card that now rules him out. That suspension hurts, as Latvia’s backline is already stretched. Vitalijs Jagodinskis is set to step in, but defensive gaps could be a real issue against Mitrovic and Vlahovic.
Still, Latvia aren’t here to make up the numbers. Their gritty 1-0 win over Andorra in March showed they can grind out results when needed. And with just one point separating them from Albania, the playoff spot remains within reach. The question is, can they hold their nerve against one of Europe’s most dangerous strike duos? It feels like a tall order, but in football, stranger things have happened.
With both sides level on points, this is more than just another qualifier – it’s a statement game. Serbia’s recent unbeaten run, coupled with their attacking options, makes them clear favorites. But Latvia’s spirit at home can’t be dismissed easily. The first competitive meeting between these two nations promises intensity, goals, and plenty of drama. For fans chasing reliable analysis, this is exactly the kind of match that defines bold World Cup Predictions.
Backing Serbia at -1.5 looks a solid play here given the gulf in quality between the two squads. The Eagles are unbeaten in their last six matches and haven’t lost a World Cup qualifier since 2017, showing both resilience and consistency. Aleksandar Mitrovic is in superb form, bagging a hat-trick against Andorra in June, and alongside Juventus star Dusan Vlahovic, Serbia’s attack is far more potent than Latvia’s defense can handle. Latvia’s backline will be weakened by the suspension of Antonijs Cernomordijs and the injury to Kristers Tobers, forcing Paolo Nicolato into changes at the worst possible time. While Latvia battled well for a draw against Albania, Serbia operate at a higher level and have greater squad depth. The pressure of a playoff spot is real, but Serbia’s experience and clinical finishing should see them secure a comfortable two-goal margin, making the -1.5 handicap the value pick here.
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