Israel vs Italy Prediction 08.09.2025
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Israel vs Italy Prediction
Israel vs Italy Prediction and Betting Tips for Monday’s World Cup qualifier in Debrecen. The stakes couldn’t be higher as both sides fight for a playoff spot in Group I. For deeper analysis and expert picks, check out World Cup Predictions on XpertStats.
- Italy chasing back-to-back wins after a dominant 5-0 victory over Estonia.
- Israel aiming to defend second spot in Group I with nine points already on the board.
- Both sides battling for a potential playoff spot behind favorites Norway.
- Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won all six previous meetings.
Italy’s qualifying campaign has been anything but smooth. A bruising 3-0 defeat to Norway sent shockwaves through the squad, effectively ending Luciano Spalletti’s reign. Enter Gennaro Gattuso. The fiery new boss wasted no time making changes, switching back to a four-man defense and pushing his side to attack with intent. The result? A ruthless 5-0 demolition of Estonia in Bergamo, with Moise Kean, Mateo Retegui, and Giacomo Raspadori all on the scoresheet. Can that spark of momentum carry over into a tougher test on Monday?
Israel, meanwhile, are quietly putting together a campaign that has surprised plenty of observers. A commanding 4-0 win over Moldova last week underlined their growing confidence, with Dor Peretz and Tai Baribo among the key men making things happen. Ran Ben Shimon’s side may not have the pedigree of Italy, but they’ve collected nine points already and sit three above the Azzurri in Group I. That cushion could prove vital if they can frustrate Gattuso’s men in Debrecen.
The weight of history, though, is heavy. Israel have lost all six of their past meetings with Italy, conceding 10 goals in the last four alone. That’s the kind of psychological baggage that’s hard to ignore, even if form suggests this is their best chance in years to end the streak. With Oscar Gloukh pulling strings in midfield and Manor Solomon offering pace out wide, they’ll fancy their chances of nicking something. Still, keeping Italy quiet for 90 minutes is another story altogether.
For Gattuso, this match is more than just three points. It’s about proving his Italy can deliver consistently, not just in flashes. The attacking trio of Retegui, Kean, and Zaccagni looks sharp, while Donnarumma remains the anchor at the back. If Italy can blend flair with discipline, they should edge it. But with Israel’s resilience, this could be one of those nights where the margins are razor thin. Either way, it’s a fixture that feels like a real turning point in Group I.
In short, this is the kind of clash that defines campaigns. Israel are desperate to make history. Italy are desperate to avoid repeating it. And for fans of the game, that’s exactly the kind of drama that makes football so addictive. Expect goals, expect tension, and maybe, just maybe, expect a surprise.
Italy’s dominance over Israel in head-to-head encounters cannot be ignored: six wins out of six, with ten goals scored in their last four meetings. Under Gennaro Gattuso, the Azzurri have already shown signs of revival, bouncing back from a shaky start to deliver a crushing 5-0 victory against Estonia. That game saw them register 40 shots, proof of their attacking intent and depth. Retegui, Kean, and Raspadori offer a blend of power, movement, and creativity that Israel will find hard to contain. Israel, for their part, are in decent form, but their only real test so far came against Norwa and they lost 4-2. Against elite opposition, their defensive frailties tend to be exposed. Playing in Debrecen gives them a chance, but Italy’s superior quality, experience, and momentum suggest they’ll come out on top. For bettors, Italy to win looks the most reasonable pick given the gulf in class.
Both Italy and Israel have shown attacking intent in this qualifying campaign, which makes Over 1.5 Goals a logical pick. Italy hit Estonia for five in their last outing, firing 40 shots and carving open the defense at will. Israel, meanwhile, put four past Moldova in their most recent game and have now scored 11 goals in just four qualifiers. That tells us neither side is shy in front of goal. Defensive solidity hasn’t always been there either: Italy conceded three to Norway earlier in the group, while Israel shipped four against the same opponent. This combination of attacking sharpness and defensive vulnerability suggests chances will come at both ends. Even if Italy dominate possession, Israel’s counter-attacking threat means they could nick one themselves. Historically, these clashes have often seen goals, and with the pressure of qualification growing, expect another open game where two or more goals feel inevitable.
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