Inter Miami vs New York City Prediction and Betting Tips for the MLS Eastern Conference Final, scheduled for Saturday, November 29, 2025, at 23:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on MLS Season Pass from the Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale. Inter are in explosive form, with Lionel Messi rewriting playoff records, while NYC arrive after toppling the Shield winners. In this piece, you’ll find MLS Predictions and insights from XpertStats analysts.

• Inter Miami are unbeaten in their last four home matches in all competitions.
• Lionel Messi has scored 29 regular-season goals and added six more in the playoffs.
• New York City have won three straight away games heading into this clash.
• Both sides are fighting for a spot in the MLS Cup Final on December 6.

There’s a certain buzz around South Florida these days. Inter Miami have become a spectacle, a club where expectation feels natural. They’ve averaged 2.68 goals per match this season, with 84% of their games producing over 2.5 goals. Mascherano’s men have scored four or more in five of their last seven outings, numbers that make you sit up. Back at Chase Stadium, the Herons have built a fortress, winning four straight. Messi? He’s the axis of it all, carrying 29 regular-season goals and another six plus six assists in the playoffs. Not bad for a player many said was slowing down.

Still, Miami’s not without vulnerability. They’ve conceded an average of 1.42 goals per game and allowed BTTS in 74% of fixtures. That leaves cracks, small ones, but visible. Youngster Mateo Silvetti’s rise has been a story in itself. At just 19, he’s made the veteran Luis Suárez watch from the bench after scoring and assisting four times in two matches. It’s the kind of bold selection that could define Mascherano’s career. Can he keep the balance between youthful flair and seasoned composure? Hard to say, but watching it unfold will be thrilling.

For New York City, this trip is both daunting and exhilarating. They’ve averaged 1.35 goals scored and just 1.2 conceded per match. Solid, if not spectacular. Under Pascal Jansen, the Cityzens have found resilience, winning their last three road matches and four of their last five overall. They don’t always score much, but when they do, it counts. Maxi Moralez’s winner against Philadelphia Union last weekend was vintage: poise, precision, and a touch of defiance. He’ll need more of that magic now, especially with Alonso Martinez sidelined and Andres Perea missing through injury.

History’s slightly against them, though. NYC haven’t beaten Miami in their last four encounters, and their last clean sheet in this fixture feels like a lifetime ago. Even so, Matt Freese has been immense in goal, notching three shutouts in four playoff games. If he holds firm, New York could frustrate the Herons long enough to make this interesting. But given Miami’s 89% over 1.5 goals rate and the way Messi has turned Chase Stadium into his personal playground, it feels like one of those nights when resistance might not be enough. Boldly said, but maybe the truth.

All in all, this feels like a final before the final, two contrasting football philosophies colliding under the Florida lights. Inter Miami play with rhythm and chaos; New York thrive on structure and grit. The numbers lean Miami’s way, but as every fan knows, stats don’t always capture the heart of the game. Still, when you mix Messi’s hunger, Silvetti’s spark, and Miami’s home comfort, it’s hard to bet against them. That’s why our analysts favor the Herons in their latest MLS Predictions.