Who will win between Girona and Atletico Madrid?

This is expected to be a highly competitive match. Atletico Madrid's defensive solidity will be tested by Girona's attacking flair at home.

LaLiga Predictions Football Predictions

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction LaLiga 21.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 20 December 2025

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction LaLiga

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips for the La Liga, scheduled for December 21, 2025, at 13:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Channel1 and Channel2 from the Estadio Municipal de Montilivi in Girona. The home side finds themselves in a precarious position, lingering in 18th place with just 15 points to their name. Can they really turn things around against a giant of the league? It is hard to say how this will end, but the pressure is certainly on Michel’s shoulders. In this article, you’ll discover Spanish League Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

Girona currently sits in 18th place with 15 points after 16 matches this La Liga season.
The home side has conceded an average of 1.75 goals per match at the Montilivi stadium.
Atletico Madrid occupies 4th place in the table and remains within nine points of leaders Barcelona.
Diego Simeone’s men have seen a Both Teams to Score rate of 63% in away games.
Girona faces a massive injury crisis with eight key players currently sidelined including Cristhian Stuani.
Atletico Madrid has won 10 of their 17 league matches and recently beat Valencia 2-1.

Michel has a massive job on his hands because the injury list at Montilivi is absolutely staggering right now. Missing key figures like Donny van de Beek, Cristhian Stuani, and Portu is enough to make any manager lose sleep. Still, Girona has been somewhat reliable on their own turf, picking up eleven of their fifteen total points in front of their home supporters. Can they really turn things around against a heavyweight like Atletico? It is hard to say how this will end, but they will need a heroic defensive performance to survive given they concede 1.75 goals per home match on average. That is a bold hill to climb, even with the crowd behind them.

Looking at the history between these two, the outlook for the Catalans is quite bleak. They have only managed a single victory against the capital giants in twelve attempts. That famous 4-3 win in early 2024 feels like a lifetime ago compared to the current situation. Last season was particularly painful, with Atletico putting seven goals past them across two matches without conceding a single one in return. That said, football is unpredictable, and Girona did have a free week to prepare after their Copa del Rey exit. Maybe that extra rest gives them the tactical edge they need to surprise everyone, but it feels like a very long shot.

On the other side of the pitch, Diego Simeone has his squad firing on all cylinders again. Atletico Madrid is coming off a 3-2 cup win over Baleares and a solid 2-1 victory against Valencia in the league. They are currently nine points behind Barcelona, so they simply cannot afford to drop points if they want to keep the title race interesting. Simeone’s tactical setup remains as disciplined as ever, boasting an away defensive record of just 1.13 goals conceded per game. They know how to suffer and how to win ugly, which is exactly what might be required at the Montilivi this weekend. Even so, late fitness tests for Marcos Llorente and Jose Gimenez could complicate the Argentine’s plans.

The attacking depth for the visitors is where this game might be decided. With Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth expected to lead the line, and Antoine Griezmann fresh off a brace in the cup, Girona’s patchwork defense will be under constant pressure. Atletico typically scores once per game on their travels, but given the host’s defensive vulnerabilities, they might find more joy here. If you are looking for Spanish League Predictions, the trend definitely leans toward the away side’s experience and superior quality. Will the underdogs bite back, or will the red and white machine keep rolling? It is the kind of match where one mistake will likely decide everything.

Atlético de Madrid is set to close out 2025 with a crucial visit to Girona, bolstered by the return of Marcos Llorente and Alexander Sorloth. Both players are expected to start at Montilivi after fully integrating into Diego Simeone’s tactical sessions. Despite missing Giménez, Baena, and Lenglet due to injury, the Rojiblancos aim to secure a victory to remain competitive in the LaLiga title race.

Source: marca.com

Atletico Madrid to Win @1.72
Atletico Madrid is in a fantastic position to secure all three points at Montilivi. Diego Simeone’s side has found their rhythm, entering this fixture on the back of three straight wins across all competitions. The historical dominance is impossible to ignore, especially considering Atletico won last season's encounters by 3-0 and 4-0 scorelines. Girona is currently decimated by injuries, missing crucial players like Stuani and Van de Beek, which leaves their squad depth incredibly thin. While Girona has been okay at home, they still concede 1.75 goals per match at their own stadium. With Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth leading a potent attack, Atletico has the clinical edge required to exploit a weakened defense. The visitors are chasing a top three spot and cannot afford any slip ups against a team currently sitting in eighteenth. Everything points toward a professional away victory for the capital side.