Serie A Predictions Football Predictions

Genoa vs Inter Milan Prediction Serie A 14.12.2025

Alexandru Florin 13 December 2025

Genoa vs Inter Milan Prediction Serie A

Genoa vs Inter Milan Prediction and Betting Tips for Serie A, scheduled for Sunday, December 14, 2025, at 17:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on DAZN and Sky Go Italia from the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genoa. With Inter chasing the title pack and Genoa fighting for breathing space, the tension feels baked in already. In this article, you’ll discover Serie A Predictions from the XpertStats team.

Inter Milan arrive after a demanding European night and face a physical test away from home
Genoa have shown renewed fight under new management, especially at Marassi
Both teams rank high for total fouls per match this season
Referee Daniele Doveri is known for letting games flow, but physical contests often push limits

Inter Milan travel south still shaking off the frustration of a midweek Champions League defeat. Those nights take a toll, mentally and physically. Domestically, the Nerazzurri remain one of the league’s most aggressive attacking sides, averaging 1.83 goals scored per match and featuring in games with an average of 3.17 total goals. Still, they also concede 1.33 per game, and that opens the door for scrappy, stop-start contests. Add an average of 28.50 fouls per match in Inter fixtures, and it’s clear their style invites contact. Can they control the tempo here? Hard to be sure.

Over 25.5 Fouls @1.48
This matchup has all the ingredients for a foul-heavy contest. Genoa average 30.14 total fouls per match, one of the highest combined figures in the league, and that number reflects their combative approach. They commit 15.43 fouls per game and win nearly as many, often disrupting rhythm rather than controlling possession. Inter Milan are no strangers to physical matches either. Their games average 28.50 fouls, with 13.67 committed per match as they counter-press aggressively when possession is lost. With Inter likely to dominate the ball, Genoa will spend long spells defending, which naturally increases foul count. Add Inter’s European fatigue and the pressure of a tight title race, and you get mistimed tackles and tactical fouls. Referee Daniele Doveri tends to allow contact early, but that often leads to escalation rather than calm. Over 25.5 fouls feels well within reach.